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Lucena vs Rayo Majadahonda Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Copa Del Rey - Season 2026/2027 1st Round (Knock Out)
Lucena vs Rayo Majadahonda — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Copa Del Rey
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Rayo Majadahonda to win
Our track record
In 2,083 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 43.7% of the time (bookmakers said 43.9%).
Our model’s pick
No, not both
Our track record
In 3,090 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.6% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
Our track record
In 799 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.3% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 55–60%.
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our track record
In 3,628 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 76.1% of the time (bookmakers said 76.2%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our track record
In 6,631 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.4% of the time (bookmakers said 44.1%).
Our model’s pick
Lucena 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 2,660 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 69.1% of the time (bookmakers said 67.6%).
Our model’s pick
Rayo Majadahonda 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 3,283 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.1% of the time (bookmakers said 67.7%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Lucena vs Rayo Majadahonda — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Lucena vs Rayo Majadahonda. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Lucena–
Rayo Majadahonda–Winner
12 72%
BTTS*
No 53%
Correct Score
1-1 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 68%
Lucena–Rayo Majadahonda–Winner
12 72%
BTTS*
No 53%
Correct Score
1-1 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 68%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 30% | 70% | 56% | 44% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 68% | 32% | 88% | 12% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 33% | 67% | 68% | 32% |
 | 32% | 68% | 67% | 33% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 88% | 12% | 96% | 4% |
| 87% | 13% | 96% | 4% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
21%
2-2
20%
X-X
18%
X-1
14%
X-2
12%
1-X
6%
2-X
5%
1-2
2%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
1-1
13.6%
1-0
10.6%
0-1
10.4%
0-0
9.3%
1-2
7.8%
2-1
7.4%
0-2
6.3%
2-0
6.1%
2-2
4.4%
0-3
3.3%
1-3
3.1%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score