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Vic vs Atlético Madrid

Vic vs Atlético Madrid 0-2 Score & Prediction Review

Copa Del Rey - Season 2024/2025 1st Round (Knock Out)

Fair result

Vic

0–2

Atlético Madrid

0.8Chances (xG)2.0

On these chances Vic would usually take 0.6 points and Atlético Madrid 2.2; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Atlético Madrid.

Vic −0.6 pts vs chancesAtlético Madrid +0.8 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Vic vs Atlético Madrid stats: how the match was played

Copa Del Rey

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Atlético Madrid had more than twice the shots on target

Vic

Atlético Madrid

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

Red cards

20%

Possession

80%

The match between Vic and Atlético Madrid ended 0-2. Our AI model correctly predicted an Atlético Madrid win with 89% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result & Both Teams To Score.

Vic vs Atlético Madrid — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Copa Del Rey

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Atlético Madrid to win

Correct

Our model 89%Bookmakers 96%

Our track record

Too few similar matches in the last 12 months for a track record.

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Correct

Our model 66%Bookmakers 77%

Our track record

In 411 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.3% of the time (bookmakers said 65.5%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Wrong

Our model 64%Bookmakers 88%

Our track record

In 3,121 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.4% of the time (bookmakers said 62.6%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Over 3.5 goals.

Our model 57%Bookmakers 23%

Our track record

In 261 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.4% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.2% than to our 55–60%.

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Atlético Madrid ahead at half-time

Wrong

Our model 65%Bookmakers 86%

Our track record

In 108 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.5% of the time (bookmakers said 63.8%).

Vic Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Vic 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 99%Bookmakers 97%

Our track record

Too few similar matches in the last 12 months for a track record.

Atlético Madrid Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Atlético Madrid 2+ goals

Correct

Our model 78%Bookmakers 95%

Our track record

In 2,587 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 74.9% of the time (bookmakers said 76.4%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Vic vs Atlético Madrid 0-2 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Vic vs Atlético Madrid. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Copa Del Rey - Spain

Vic0

Atlético Madrid2

Winner

2 89%

BTTS*

No 66%

Correct Score

0-2 14%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 64%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

over 53%

· FT

Copa Del Rey - Spain

Vic0

Atlético Madrid2

Winner

2 89%

BTTS*

No 66%

Correct Score

0-2 14%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 64%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

over 53%

Full Time

13%

X9%

289%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	17%	83%	36%	64%	47%	53%	60%	40%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	17%	83%	36%	64%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	47%	53%	60%	40%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	82%	18%	99%	1%	100%	0%	100%	0%
	7%	93%	22%	78%	43%	57%	60%	40%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	82%	18%	99%	1%
	7%	93%	22%	78%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	100%	0%	100%	0%
	43%	57%	60%	40%

1st Half

18%

X27%

265%

1st Score

119%

X4%

277%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

60%

X-2

20%

X-X

1-1

1-X

1-2

X-1

2-X

2-1

Correct Score

0-2

13.8%

0-3

13.7%

0-1

10.8%

1-2

6.9%

1-1

4.7%

0-0

3.8%

1-3

3.8%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score