Albacete vs FC Barcelona 1-2 Score & Prediction Review
Copa Del Rey - Season 2025/2026 Quarter-finals (Knock Out)
Albacete1–2
FC BarcelonaOn these chances Albacete would usually take 0.6 points and FC Barcelona 2.2; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: FC Barcelona.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Albacete vs FC Barcelona stats: how the match was played
Copa Del Rey
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
FC Barcelona had more than twice the shots on target
Albacete
FC Barcelona
3
Shots on target
6
3
Big chances
7
3
Corners
6
1
Yellow cards
1
26%
Possession
74%
Albacete vs FC Barcelona — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Copa Del Rey
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
FC Barcelona to win
CorrectOur track record
In 1,040 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 66.7% of the time (bookmakers said 66.5%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
CorrectOur track record
In 2,395 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.8% of the time (bookmakers said 61.5%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 1,112 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 67.7% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Over 3.5 goals.
Our track record
In 170 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 44.6% than to our 50–55%.
Our model’s pick
FC Barcelona ahead at half-time
CorrectOur track record
In 6,562 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.8% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).
Our model’s pick
Albacete 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 1,559 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.3% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).
Our model’s pick
FC Barcelona 2+ goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,197 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.2% of the time (bookmakers said 67.8%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Albacete vs FC Barcelona 1-2 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Albacete vs FC Barcelona. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Albacete1
FC Barcelona2Winner
2 61%
BTTS*
Yes 61%
Correct Score
1-2 09%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 69%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 59%
Albacete1FC Barcelona2Winner
2 61%
BTTS*
Yes 61%
Correct Score
1-2 09%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 69%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 59%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 13% | 87% | 31% | 69% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 41% | 59% | 66% | 34% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44% | 56% | 71% | 29% |
| 14% | 86% | 34% | 66% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 87% | 13% | 96% | 4% |
| 60% | 40% | 79% | 21% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
37%
X-2
21%
1-1
11%
X-X
11%
X-1
7%
1-X
4%
1-2
4%
2-X
4%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
1-2
9.0%
0-2
8.9%
1-1
7.3%
1-3
7.0%
0-1
6.1%
2-2
5.7%
0-3
4.8%
2-1
4.3%
2-3
4.2%
1-0
3.8%
0-0
3.1%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score