Fast starters
7/9Palmeiras scored first in 7 of 9 recent matches with goal times (league 46%).
Palmeiras vs Fluminense Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Copa Libertadores - Season 2026 Semi-finals (Knock Out)
Fast starters
Palmeiras scored first in 7 of 9 recent matches with goal times (league 46%).
7/9Scored first · Palmeiras
Palmeiras vs Fluminense score prediction
Copa Libertadores
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Palmeiras expected to score more than twice as many as Fluminense
2.3 goals in total, a little over the Copa Libertadores average of 2.2.
goals expected
Palmeiras1.6
Fluminense0.6Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
How we measure →The match Palmeiras vs Fluminense will be played on Thursday, October 22 as part of the 2026 season. This fixture will be played in the Semi-finals - Knock Out stage of the Copa Libertadores. On this page, you’ll find our detailed football prediction for Palmeiras vs Fluminense, including full-time result (1X2) probabilities, draw chances, and additional betting insights. Our predictions are generated using data-driven models that analyze team form, recent performances, and historical trends to deliver reliable match forecasts.
Palmeiras vs Fluminense — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Palmeiras vs Fluminense. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Palmeiras–
Fluminense–Winner
1 59%
BTTS*
No 57%
Correct Score
1-0 15%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 67%
Palmeiras–Fluminense–Winner
1 59%
BTTS*
No 57%
Correct Score
1-0 15%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 67%
Full Time
159%
X25%
217%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 30% | 70% | 56% | 45% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 67% | 33% | 87% | 13% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19% | 81% | 51% | 49% |
| 51% | 49% | 83% | 17% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 77% | 23% | 92% | 8% |
| 95% | 5% | 99% | 1% |
1st Half
143%
X42%
215%
1st Score
163%
X9%
228%
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
38%
X-1
21%
X-X
14%
2-2
8%
X-2
6%
1-X
4%
2-X
4%
2-1
3%
1-2
1%
Correct Score
1-0
15.2%
2-0
11.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
0-0
8.7%
3-0
6.5%
0-1
6.3%
3-1
5.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-2
3.8%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Palmeiras vs Fluminense: the stats that stand out
Copa Libertadores
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Palmeiras: fast starters and always on the scoresheet
7/9Always on the scoresheet
1/10Palmeiras failed to score in only 1 of their last 10 (league 33%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Palmeiras vs Fluminense: attack vs defence
Copa Libertadores
Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
other Copa Libertadores teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- Palmeiras: good attack, good defence (1.96 xG, 1.01 xGA a game)
- Fluminense: weak attack, good defence (1.33 xG, 1.05 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Palmeiras vs Fluminense: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
Copa Libertadores
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Copa Libertadores gamesBTTS = both teams scoredBoth teams score in Palmeiras and Fluminense games more often than the Copa Libertadores average (43%).
Over 2.5 goalsleague 35%
Palmeiras3 of 10
Fluminense4 of 10
BTTSleague 43%
Palmeiras6 of 10
Fluminense6 of 10
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 124 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Palmeiras vs Fluminense corners, cards and goal times
Copa Libertadores
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gamePalmeiras: last 9 with these statsFluminense: last 9 with these statsBoth sides score early
Palmeiras
Fluminense
6.7
Corners won · league 4.7
3.1
4.0
Corners conceded · league 4.7
4.3
1.3
Cards · league 2.3
2.1
2.9
Opponents' cards · league 2.3
2.1
62%
Goals before half-time · league 41%
60%
15%
Goals after 75' · league 25%
10%
50%
Conceded before half-time · league 41%
67%
17%
Conceded after 75' · league 25%
0%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Fluminense2/5
Palmeiras3/5
Both Teams to Score
Fluminense1/5
Palmeiras2/5
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Fluminense3/5
Palmeiras3/5
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Fluminense4/5
Palmeiras3/5
First Half Result
Fluminense2/5
Palmeiras3/5
Correct Score
Fluminense1/5
Palmeiras1/5
correct predictionwrong prediction