Flamengo vs Estudiantes Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Copa Libertadores - Season 2026 Semi-finals (Knock Out)

Riding their luck

Flamengo are taking more points than their chances usually bring

+4points more than their chances usually bring in their last 10

85% of teams this far ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games.

Flamengo vs Estudiantes score prediction

Copa Libertadores

The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.

Bore draw alertJust 1.9 goals expected

1.9 goals in total, a little under the Copa Libertadores average of 2.2.

goals expected

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.

Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.

Goal-fest alert: we expect at least 2.7 goals, clearly more than usual in this league (8.5% above the average). Since July 2025, these games averaged 3.2 goals, and 62% went over 2.5.

Bore draw alert: we expect 2.3 goals or fewer, clearly less than usual (11% below the average). These games averaged 2.2 goals, and 63% stayed under 2.5.

Bookmakers usually see these coming too, so use the alert to know what kind of game to expect, not as a betting edge.

How we measure →
The match Flamengo vs Estudiantes will be played on Friday, October 23 as part of the 2026 season. This fixture will be played in the Semi-finals - Knock Out stage of the Copa Libertadores. On this page, you’ll find our detailed football prediction for Flamengo vs Estudiantes, including full-time result (1X2) probabilities, draw chances, and additional betting insights. Our predictions are generated using data-driven models that analyze team form, recent performances, and historical trends to deliver reliable match forecasts.

Flamengo vs Estudiantes — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market

Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Flamengo vs Estudiantes. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.

FlamengoFlamengo–
EstudiantesEstudiantes–

Winner

1 67%

BTTS*

No 61%

Correct Score

1-0 16%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 55%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 67%

Full Time

167%
X21%
211%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT29%71%55%45%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT67%33%85%15%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Flamengo16%84%45%55%
Estudiantes59%41%89%11%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Flamengo72%28%88%12%
Estudiantes98%2%100%0%

1st Half

149%
X38%
213%

1st Score

169%
X8%
222%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

45%

X-1

21%

X-X

14%

2-2

6%

X-2

5%

1-X

3%

2-1

3%

2-X

3%

1-2

1%

Correct Score

1-0

15.6%

2-0

14.5%

1-1

10.0%

2-1

9.3%

3-0

8.9%

0-0

8.5%

3-1

5.3%

0-1

4.9%

1-2

3.0%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Flamengo vs Estudiantes: the stats that stand out

Copa Libertadores

Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.

How to read it

the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%

Flamengo: always on the scoresheet, fast starters and brick wall

Always on the scoresheet
Flamengo0/10

Flamengo scored in all of their last 10 (league 33% fail to score).

Fast starters
Flamengo8/10

Flamengo scored first in 8 of their last 10 (league 46%).

Brick wall
Flamengo5/10

Flamengo kept 5 clean sheets in their last 10 (league 33%).

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.

How we measure →

Flamengo vs Estudiantes: attack vs defence

Copa Libertadores

Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.

How to read it

other Copa Libertadores teamsleague averagelast 10 games

↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)

More chances created (xG a game) →

  • FlamengoFlamengo: good attack, good defence (1.62 xG, 0.95 xGA a game)
  • EstudiantesEstudiantes: weak attack, good defence (1.37 xG, 0.97 xGA)

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.

How we measure →

Flamengo vs Estudiantes form and luck check

Copa Libertadores

Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.

How to read it

what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Copa Libertadores games

Flamengo are taking more points than their chances usually bring

  • Flamengo
    FlamengoClinical · +3 goals
    +4.1
  • Estudiantes
    Estudiantes
    +0.2

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.

We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.

Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.

How we measure →

Flamengo vs Estudiantes: Over 2.5 & BTTS?

Copa Libertadores

How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.

How to read it

a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Copa Libertadores gamesBTTS = both teams scored

Both teams score in Flamengo and Estudiantes games more often than the Copa Libertadores average (43%).

Over 2.5 goalsleague 35%
Flamengo3 of 10
Estudiantes2 of 10
BTTSleague 43%
Flamengo5 of 10
Estudiantes6 of 10

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 124 games played here in the last 12 months.

How we measure →

Flamengo vs Estudiantes corners, cards and goal times

Copa Libertadores

Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.

How to read it

league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gamePro · free for now

Goal times close to the Copa Libertadores average

Flamengo

Estudiantes

4.7

Corners won · league 4.7

5.1

4.7

Corners conceded · league 4.7

3.0

1.5

Cards · league 2.3

3.2

3.1

Opponents' cards · league 2.3

2.1

22%

Goals before half-time · league 41%

42%

33%

Goals after 75' · league 25%

25%

40%

Conceded before half-time · league 41%

43%

0%

Conceded after 75' · league 25%

14%

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.

How we measure →

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

FlamengoFlamengo
2/5
EstudiantesEstudiantes
1/5

Both Teams to Score

FlamengoFlamengo
1/5
EstudiantesEstudiantes
3/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

FlamengoFlamengo
4/5
EstudiantesEstudiantes
3/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

FlamengoFlamengo
5/5
EstudiantesEstudiantes
5/5

First Half Result

FlamengoFlamengo
3/5
EstudiantesEstudiantes
2/5

Correct Score

FlamengoFlamengo
1/5
EstudiantesEstudiantes
2/5
correct predictionwrong prediction

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