Fast starters
5/7Boca Juniors scored first in 5 of 7 recent matches with goal times (league 45%).
- Home
- Atlético Mineiro vs Boca Juniors
Atlético Mineiro vs Boca Juniors Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Copa Sudamericana - Season 2026 Final (Knock Out)
Fast starters
Boca Juniors scored first in 5 of 7 recent matches with goal times (league 45%).
5/7Scored first · Boca Juniors
Get our AI football prediction and stats for Atlético Mineiro vs Boca Juniors: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.
Atlético Mineiro vs Boca Juniors — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Copa Sudamericana
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Atlético Mineiro to win
Our model 42%Bookmakers 28%
Our track record
In 1,082 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 30.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 30.2% than to our 40–45%.
Both Teams to Score →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our model 52%Bookmakers 44%
Our track record
In 3,116 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.6% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
Our model 52%Bookmakers 63%
Our track record
In 5,193 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.2% of the time (bookmakers said 56.5%).
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our model 74%Bookmakers 83%
Our track record
In 4,604 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.3% of the time (bookmakers said 71.4%).
First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our model 43%Bookmakers 48%
Our track record
In 6,707 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.4% of the time (bookmakers said 44.1%).
Atlético Mineiro Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Atlético Mineiro 0–1 goals
Our model 60%Bookmakers 77%
Our track record
In 3,475 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.9% of the time (bookmakers said 63.9%).
Boca Juniors Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Boca Juniors 0–1 goals
Our model 69%Bookmakers 66%
Our track record
In 3,335 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 67.9% of the time (bookmakers said 67.5%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Atlético Mineiro vs Boca Juniors — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Atlético Mineiro vs Boca Juniors. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Atlético Mineiro–
Boca Juniors–Winner
1X 69%
BTTS*
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 64%
Atlético Mineiro–Boca Juniors–Winner
1X 69%
BTTS*
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 64%
Full Time
142%
X26%
231%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 27% | 73% | 52% | 48% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 64% | 36% | 85% | 15% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 27% | 73% | 60% | 40% |
| 35% | 65% | 69% | 31% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 83% | 17% | 94% | 6% |
| 89% | 11% | 97% | 3% |
1st Half
129%
X43%
227%
1st Score
148%
X8%
244%
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
23%
2-2
19%
X-X
17%
X-1
15%
X-2
12%
2-X
5%
1-X
4%
1-2
3%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
1-1
12.3%
1-0
10.6%
0-1
8.9%
2-1
8.8%
0-0
8.0%
2-0
7.2%
1-2
7.2%
0-2
5.0%
2-2
4.9%
3-1
4.0%
3-0
3.8%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Atlético Mineiro vs Boca Juniors: the stats that stand out
Copa Sudamericana
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Boca Juniors: fast starters
5/7Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Atlético Mineiro vs Boca Juniors: attack vs defence
Copa Sudamericana
Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
other Copa Sudamericana teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- Atlético Mineiro: weak attack, weak defence (1.15 xG, 1.67 xGA a game)
- Boca Juniors: good attack, good defence (1.42 xG, 1.07 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Atlético Mineiro vs Boca Juniors: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
Copa Sudamericana
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averageup to 10 recent Copa Sudamericana gamesBTTS = both teams scoredBoth teams score in Atlético Mineiro and Boca Juniors games less often than the Copa Sudamericana average (43%).
Over 2.5 goalsleague 40%
Atlético Mineiro4 of 10
Boca Juniors3 of 8
BTTSleague 43%
Atlético Mineiro3 of 10
Boca Juniors3 of 8
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 141 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Atlético Mineiro vs Boca Juniors corners, cards and goal times
Copa Sudamericana
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per game- Corners won: league 4.6
- Cards: league 2.4
- Goals before half-time: league 48%
- Goals after 75': league 20%
Corners and cards for every league: League stats →
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Atlético Mineiro4/5
Boca Juniors2/5
Both Teams to Score
Atlético Mineiro2/5
Boca Juniors3/5
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Atlético Mineiro2/5
Boca Juniors3/5
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Atlético Mineiro3/5
Boca Juniors3/5
First Half Result
Atlético Mineiro2/5
Boca Juniors2/5
Correct Score
Atlético Mineiro0/5
Boca Juniors2/5
correct predictionwrong prediction