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Caracas vs Metropolitanos

Caracas vs Metropolitanos 0-0 Score & Prediction Review

Copa Sudamericana - Season 2026 1st Round (Knock Out)

Caracas vs Metropolitanos stats: how the match was played

Copa Sudamericana

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Even on chances

Caracas

Metropolitanos

0.7

Chances (xG)

0.7

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

61%

Possession

40%

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

The match between Caracas and Metropolitanos ended 0-0. Our AI model predicted a Caracas win at 41% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.

Caracas vs Metropolitanos — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Copa Sudamericana

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Caracas to win

Wrong

Our model 41%Bookmakers 39%

Our track record

In 3,596 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.3% of the time (bookmakers said 47.0%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Correct

Our model 51%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 6,458 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.2% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Correct

Our model 56%Bookmakers 61%

Our track record

In 5,301 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.3% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

Our model 77%Bookmakers 80%

Our track record

In 3,649 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 76.0% of the time (bookmakers said 76.2%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct

Our model 46%Bookmakers 46%

Our track record

In 4,234 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 48.0% of the time (bookmakers said 47.2%).

Caracas Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Caracas 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 64%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 3,455 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 64.0% of the time (bookmakers said 64.0%).

Metropolitanos Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Metropolitanos 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 71%Bookmakers 75%

Our track record

In 3,353 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.7% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Caracas vs Metropolitanos 0-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Caracas vs Metropolitanos. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Copa Sudamericana - South America

Caracas0

Metropolitanos0

Winner

1X 69%

BTTS*

No 51%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 56%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 67%

· FT

Copa Sudamericana - South America

Caracas0

Metropolitanos0

Winner

1X 69%

BTTS*

No 51%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 56%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 67%

Full Time

141%

X28%

231%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	31%	69%	56%	44%	67%	33%	88%	12%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	31%	69%	56%	44%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	67%	33%	88%	12%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	29%	71%	63%	37%	86%	14%	95%	5%
	36%	64%	71%	29%	90%	10%	97%	3%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	29%	71%	63%	37%
	36%	64%	71%	29%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	86%	14%	95%	5%
	90%	10%	97%	3%

1st Half

131%

X46%

224%

1st Score

148%

X9%

242%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

22%

X-X

18%

2-2

17%

X-1

15%

X-2

13%

1-X

2-X

1-2

2-1

Correct Score

1-1

12.8%

1-0

11.7%

0-1

9.9%

0-0

9.2%

2-1

8.4%

2-0

7.3%

1-2

7.2%

0-2

5.3%

2-2

4.7%

3-1

3.7%

3-0

3.3%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score