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Boston River vs Racing

Boston River vs Racing 1-0 Score & Prediction Review

Copa Sudamericana - Season 2026 1st Round (Knock Out)

Fair result

Boston River

1–0

Racing

0.7Chances (xG)1.2

On these chances Boston River would usually take 1.0 points and Racing 1.7; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Racing.

Boston River +2.0 pts vs chancesRacing −1.7 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Boston River vs Racing stats: how the match was played

Copa Sudamericana

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Boston River had more than twice the shots on target

Boston River

Racing

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

43%

Possession

57%

The match between Boston River and Racing ended 1-0. Our AI model predicted an Racing win at 40% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.

Boston River vs Racing — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Copa Sudamericana

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Racing to win

Wrong

Our model 40%Bookmakers 36%

Our track record

In 2,100 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 43.5% of the time (bookmakers said 44.0%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Correct

Our model 51%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 6,460 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Correct

Our model 57%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 5,307 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

Our model 77%Bookmakers 83%

Our track record

In 3,655 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 76.0% of the time (bookmakers said 76.2%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct

Our model 46%Bookmakers 48%

Our track record

In 4,247 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 48.1% of the time (bookmakers said 47.2%).

Boston River Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Boston River 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 70%Bookmakers 72%

Our track record

In 1,583 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.0% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).

Racing Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Racing 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 65%Bookmakers 70%

Our track record

In 2,649 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.3% of the time (bookmakers said 63.8%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Boston River vs Racing 1-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Boston River vs Racing. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Copa Sudamericana - South America

Boston River1

Racing0

Winner

X2 67%

BTTS*

No 51%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 56%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 67%

· FT

Copa Sudamericana - South America

Boston River1

Racing0

Winner

X2 67%

BTTS*

No 51%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 56%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 67%

Full Time

133%

X28%

240%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	31%	69%	56%	44%	67%	33%	88%	12%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	31%	69%	56%	44%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	67%	33%	88%	12%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	35%	65%	70%	30%	89%	11%	97%	3%
	31%	69%	65%	35%	86%	14%	95%	5%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	35%	65%	70%	30%
	31%	69%	65%	35%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	89%	11%	97%	3%
	86%	14%	95%	5%

1st Half

127%

X46%

227%

1st Score

144%

X9%

246%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

22%

X-X

19%

1-1

18%

X-2

15%

X-1

12%

1-X

2-X

1-2

2-1

Correct Score

1-1

13.0%

0-1

11.2%

1-0

10.2%

0-0

9.3%

1-2

8.0%

2-1

7.1%

0-2

7.1%

2-0

5.8%

2-2

4.5%

1-3

3.5%

0-3

3.2%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score