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Atlético Mineiro vs Montevideo City Torque

Atlético Mineiro vs Torque 3-0 Score & Prediction Review

Copa Sudamericana - Season 2026 Semi-finals (Knock Out)

Fair result

Atlético Mineiro

3–0

Torque

1.9Chances (xG)0.6

On these chances Atlético Mineiro would usually take 2.3 points and Torque 0.5; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Atlético Mineiro.

Atlético Mineiro +0.7 pts vs chancesTorque −0.5 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Atlético Mineiro vs Torque stats: how the match was played

Copa Sudamericana

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Atlético Mineiro had more than twice the shots on target

Atlético Mineiro

Torque

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

66%

Possession

34%

The match between Atlético Mineiro and Torque ended 3-0. Our AI model correctly predicted a Atlético Mineiro win with 59% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.

Atlético Mineiro vs Torque — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Copa Sudamericana

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Atlético Mineiro to win

Correct

Our model 59%Bookmakers 67%

Our track record

In 1,805 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.4% of the time (bookmakers said 61.2%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Correct

Our model 51%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 6,482 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Wrong

Our model 50%Bookmakers 53%

Our track record

In 5,148 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.1% of the time (bookmakers said 56.5%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

Our model 73%Bookmakers 74%

Our track record

In 4,543 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.2% of the time (bookmakers said 71.4%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Atlético Mineiro ahead at half-time

Correct

Our model 42%Bookmakers 49%

Our track record

In 6,632 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.4% of the time (bookmakers said 44.1%).

Atlético Mineiro Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Atlético Mineiro 2+ goals

Correct

Our model 52%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 2,799 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.6% of the time (bookmakers said 58.7%).

Torque Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Torque 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 81%Bookmakers 88%

Our track record

In 1,483 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 79.0% of the time (bookmakers said 80.6%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Atlético Mineiro vs Torque 3-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Atlético Mineiro vs Torque. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Copa Sudamericana - South America

Atlético Mineiro3

Torque0

Winner

1 59%

BTTS*

No 51%

Correct Score

1-0 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 50%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 63%

· FT

Copa Sudamericana - South America

Atlético Mineiro3

Torque0

Winner

1 59%

BTTS*

No 51%

Correct Score

1-0 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 50%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 63%

Full Time

159%

X23%

218%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	26%	74%	50%	50%	63%	37%	84%	16%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	26%	74%	50%	50%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	63%	37%	84%	16%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	18%	82%	48%	52%	74%	26%	89%	11%
	49%	51%	81%	19%	95%	5%	99%	1%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	18%	82%	48%	52%
	49%	51%	81%	19%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	74%	26%	89%	11%
	95%	5%	99%	1%

1st Half

142%

X41%

218%

1st Score

162%

X8%

231%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

35%

X-1

19%

X-X

14%

2-2

10%

X-2

1-X

2-1

2-X

1-2

Correct Score

1-0

12.9%

1-1

10.8%

2-0

10.7%

2-1

10.3%

0-0

7.5%

3-0

6.9%

0-1

5.9%

3-1

5.4%

1-2

4.9%

2-2

4.0%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Atlético Mineiro vs Torque — Recent Form

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Atlético Mineiro

4/5

Torque

5/5

Both Teams to Score

Atlético Mineiro

2/5

Torque

1/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Atlético Mineiro

2/5

Torque

2/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Atlético Mineiro

3/5

Torque

5/5

First Half Result

Atlético Mineiro

2/5

Torque

2/5

Correct Score

Atlético Mineiro

0/5

Torque

0/5

correct predictionwrong prediction