1. Le Puy-en-Velay vs Reims

Le Puy F.43 Auvergne vs Reims 0-0 Score & Prediction Review

Coupe de France - Season 2025/2026 16th Finals (Knock Out)

Le Puy F.43 Auvergne vs Reims stats: how the match was played

Coupe de France

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Reims created more than twice the chances

Le Puy F.43 Auvergne

Reims

0.7

Chances (xG)

2.0

3

Shots on target

8

2

Big chances

3

6

Corners

4

0

Yellow cards

1

39%

Possession

62%

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →
The match between Le Puy F.43 Auvergne and Reims ended 0-0. Our AI model predicted a Le Puy F.43 Auvergne win at 36% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.

Le Puy F.43 Auvergne vs Reims — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Coupe de France

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Le Puy F.43 Auvergne to win

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Reims to win.

Our model 37%Bookmakers 31%

Our track record

In 1,521 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 28.7% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 29.5% than to our 35–40%.

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong
Our model 51%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 6,469 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Over 2.5 goals.

Our model 53%Bookmakers 47%

Our track record

In 2,840 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.0% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.2% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 74%Bookmakers 70%

Our track record

In 4,559 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.2% of the time (bookmakers said 71.5%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct
Our model 45%Bookmakers 42%

Our track record

In 4,252 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 48.1% of the time (bookmakers said 47.2%).

Le Puy F.43 Auvergne Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Le Puy F.43 Auvergne 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 65%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 3,459 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 64.0% of the time (bookmakers said 64.0%).

Reims Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Reims 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 65%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 3,281 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.1% of the time (bookmakers said 67.7%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Le Puy F.43 Auvergne vs Reims 0-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Le Puy F.43 Auvergne vs Reims. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Le Puy F.43 AuvergneLe Puy F.43 Auvergne0
ReimsReims0

Winner

12 72%

BTTS*

Yes 51%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 53%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 64%

Full Time

136%
X27%
236%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT28%72%53%47%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT64%36%86%14%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Le Puy F.43 Auvergne31%69%65%35%
Reims31%69%65%35%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Le Puy F.43 Auvergne86%14%96%4%
Reims87%13%96%4%

1st Half

127%
X45%
227%

1st Score

145%
X8%
247%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

20%

2-2

20%

X-X

17%

X-2

16%

X-1

13%

2-X

6%

1-X

5%

1-2

2%

2-1

2%

Correct Score

1-1

12.7%

1-0

9.9%

0-1

9.6%

0-0

8.4%

2-1

8.2%

1-2

8.0%

0-2

6.1%

2-0

6.0%

2-2

5.3%

1-3

3.7%

3-1

3.5%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

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