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Avranches vs Strasbourg 0-6 Score & Prediction Review

Coupe de France - Season 2025/2026 16th Finals (Knock Out)

Fair result
AvranchesAvranches

0–6

StrasbourgStrasbourg
1.1Chances (xG)3.0

On these chances Avranches would usually take 0.5 points and Strasbourg 2.4; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Strasbourg.

Avranches −0.5 pts vs chancesStrasbourg +0.6 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Avranches vs Strasbourg stats: how the match was played

Coupe de France

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Strasbourg had more than twice the shots on target

Avranches

Strasbourg

4

Shots on target

14

2

Big chances

8

2

Corners

4

3

Yellow cards

3

43%

Possession

58%

The match between Avranches and Strasbourg ended 0-6. Our AI model correctly predicted an Strasbourg win with 52% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result & Over/Under 2.5 Goals.

Avranches vs Strasbourg — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Coupe de France

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Strasbourg to win

Correct
Our model 52%Bookmakers 80%

Our track record

In 2,488 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.7% of the time (bookmakers said 55.1%).

Both Teams to Score →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: No, not both.

Our model 54%Bookmakers 44%

Our track record

In 3,143 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 52%Bookmakers 61%

Our track record

In 5,200 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.1% of the time (bookmakers said 56.5%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 70%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 3,986 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.3% of the time (bookmakers said 66.7%).

First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Strasbourg ahead at half-time.

Our model 44%Bookmakers 34%

Our track record

In 2,244 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.8% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 37.3% than to our 40–45%.

Avranches Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Avranches 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 74%Bookmakers 86%

Our track record

In 1,596 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.8% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).

Strasbourg Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Strasbourg 0–1 goals

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Strasbourg 2+ goals.

Our model 51%Bookmakers 28%

Our track record

In 852 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 42.1% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 42.6% than to our 50–55%.

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Avranches vs Strasbourg 0-6 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Avranches vs Strasbourg. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Coupe de France - France
AvranchesAvranches0
StrasbourgStrasbourg6

Winner

2 52%

BTTS*

Yes 54%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 52%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 60%

Full Time

123%
X24%
252%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT25%75%48%52%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT60%40%83%17%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Avranches40%60%74%26%
Strasbourg20%80%51%49%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Avranches92%8%98%2%
Strasbourg76%24%91%9%

1st Half

121%
X44%
235%

1st Score

136%
X7%
258%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

29%

X-2

19%

X-X

16%

1-1

12%

X-1

9%

1-X

5%

2-X

4%

1-2

3%

2-1

2%

Correct Score

1-1

11.3%

0-1

11.0%

1-2

9.8%

0-2

8.8%

1-0

6.8%

0-0

6.8%

2-1

5.9%

1-3

5.7%

2-2

5.2%

0-3

4.7%

2-0

3.6%

2-3

3.4%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

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