Rot-Weiss Essen vs RB Leipzig Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
DFB Pokal - Season 2026/2027 2nd Round (Knock Out)
Rot-Weiss Essen vs RB Leipzig — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · DFB Pokal
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
RB Leipzig to win
Our track record
In 3,626 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.0% of the time (bookmakers said 46.9%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our track record
In 2,480 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.5% of the time (bookmakers said 61.6%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our track record
In 1,157 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.0% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our track record
In 178 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.6% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 44.6% than to our 50–55%.
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our track record
In 1,233 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.1% of the time (bookmakers said 35.1%).
Our model’s pick
Rot-Weiss Essen 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 2,827 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.4% of the time (bookmakers said 58.6%).
Our model’s pick
RB Leipzig 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 848 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 42.6% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 42.6% than to our 50–55%.
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Rot-Weiss Essen vs RB Leipzig — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Rot-Weiss Essen vs RB Leipzig. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Rot-Weiss Essen–
RB Leipzig–Winner
X2 63%
BTTS*
Yes 63%
Correct Score
1-2 08%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 70%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 58%
Rot-Weiss Essen–RB Leipzig–Winner
X2 63%
BTTS*
Yes 63%
Correct Score
1-2 08%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 70%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 58%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 13% | 87% | 30% | 70% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 42% | 58% | 67% | 33% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 28% | 72% | 53% | 47% |
 | 25% | 75% | 51% | 49% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 76% | 24% | 88% | 12% |
| 74% | 26% | 89% | 11% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
25%
1-1
23%
X-2
14%
X-1
12%
X-X
11%
1-X
4%
2-1
4%
2-X
4%
1-2
3%
Correct Score
1-2
8.3%
1-1
7.9%
2-1
7.7%
2-2
6.4%
0-1
5.7%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4.9%
2-3
4.4%
1-0
4.1%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
4.1%
3-2
3.5%
0-3
3.3%
0-0
3.1%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
RB LeipzigRot-Weiss EssenBoth Teams to Score
RB LeipzigRot-Weiss EssenOver/Under 2.5 Goals
RB LeipzigRot-Weiss EssenOver/Under 3.5 Goals
RB LeipzigRot-Weiss EssenFirst Half Result
RB LeipzigRot-Weiss EssenCorrect Score
RB LeipzigRot-Weiss Essen