Paderborn vs VfB Stuttgart 0-1 Score & Prediction Review
DFB Pokal - Season 2026/2027 2nd Round (Knock Out)
Paderborn0–1
VfB StuttgartOn these chances Paderborn would usually take 1.0 points and VfB Stuttgart 1.8; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: VfB Stuttgart.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Paderborn vs VfB Stuttgart stats: how the match was played
DFB Pokal
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Level on shots on target
Paderborn
VfB Stuttgart
5
Shots on target
5
1
Big chances
6
4
Corners
6
1
Yellow cards
2
1
Red cards
0
37%
Possession
63%
Paderborn vs VfB Stuttgart — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · DFB Pokal
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
VfB Stuttgart to win
CorrectOur track record
In 2,464 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.0% of the time (bookmakers said 55.2%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
WrongOur track record
In 415 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.4% of the time (bookmakers said 65.5%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
WrongOur track record
In 297 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.7% of the time (bookmakers said 71.4%).
Our model’s pick
Over 3.5 goals
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Under 3.5 goals.
Our track record
In 194 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 47.4% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 44.3% than to our 50–55%.
Our model’s pick
VfB Stuttgart ahead at half-time
WrongOur track record
In 1,963 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 40.6% of the time (bookmakers said 41.2%).
Our model’s pick
Paderborn 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,493 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.0% of the time (bookmakers said 61.2%).
Our model’s pick
VfB Stuttgart 2+ goals
WrongOur track record
In 1,582 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.9% of the time (bookmakers said 60.8%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Paderborn vs VfB Stuttgart 0-1 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Paderborn vs VfB Stuttgart. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Paderborn0
VfB Stuttgart1Winner
2 51%
BTTS*
Yes 68%
Correct Score
1-2 08%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 73%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 63%
Paderborn0VfB Stuttgart1Winner
2 51%
BTTS*
Yes 68%
Correct Score
1-2 08%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 73%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 63%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 11% | 89% | 27% | 73% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 37% | 63% | 63% | 37% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 35% | 65% | 59% | 41% |
| 19% | 81% | 41% | 59% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 80% | 20% | 92% | 8% |
| 65% | 35% | 82% | 18% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
32%
1-1
19%
X-2
15%
X-1
9%
X-X
9%
2-X
5%
1-X
4%
1-2
4%
2-1
3%
Correct Score
1-2
8.2%
1-1
6.8%
2-1
6.4%
2-2
6.1%
1-3
5.8%
0-2
5.5%
0-1
5.3%
2-3
4.7%
3-2
4.0%
1-0
3.8%
0-3
3.8%
3-1
3.7%
2-0
3.1%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Paderborn vs VfB Stuttgart — Recent Form
Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
PaderbornVfB StuttgartBoth Teams to Score
PaderbornVfB StuttgartOver/Under 2.5 Goals
PaderbornVfB StuttgartOver/Under 3.5 Goals
PaderbornVfB StuttgartFirst Half Result
PaderbornVfB StuttgartCorrect Score
PaderbornVfB Stuttgart