Holstein Kiel vs TSG Hoffenheim Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
DFB Pokal - Season 2026/2027 2nd Round (Knock Out)
Holstein Kiel vs TSG Hoffenheim — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · DFB Pokal
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
TSG Hoffenheim to win
Our track record
In 3,499 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.5% of the time (bookmakers said 50.6%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our track record
In 2,480 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.7% of the time (bookmakers said 61.7%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our track record
In 1,162 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.2% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our track record
In 261 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.1% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.1% than to our 55–60%.
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our track record
In 1,203 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 35.6% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 35.0% than to our 35–40%.
Our model’s pick
Holstein Kiel 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 3,459 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 64.0% of the time (bookmakers said 64.0%).
Our model’s pick
TSG Hoffenheim 2+ goals
Our track record
In 1,021 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.9% of the time (bookmakers said 59.4%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Holstein Kiel vs TSG Hoffenheim — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Holstein Kiel vs TSG Hoffenheim. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Holstein Kiel–
TSG Hoffenheim–Winner
X2 69%
BTTS*
Yes 63%
Correct Score
1-1 09%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 65%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 54%
Holstein Kiel–TSG Hoffenheim–Winner
X2 69%
BTTS*
Yes 63%
Correct Score
1-1 09%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 65%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 54%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 15% | 85% | 35% | 65% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 46% | 54% | 72% | 28% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 33% | 67% | 60% | 40% |
 | 21% | 79% | 47% | 53% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 82% | 18% | 93% | 7% |
| 72% | 28% | 87% | 13% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
28%
1-1
19%
X-2
14%
X-X
12%
X-1
11%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
1-2
4%
2-1
3%
Correct Score
1-1
9.0%
1-2
8.8%
2-1
7.0%
0-1
6.7%
2-2
6.6%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
5.3%
1-0
4.8%
2-3
3.9%
0-0
3.9%
2-0
3.8%
0-3
3.5%
3-1
3.5%
3-2
3.2%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
TSG HoffenheimHolstein KielBoth Teams to Score
TSG HoffenheimHolstein KielOver/Under 2.5 Goals
TSG HoffenheimHolstein KielOver/Under 3.5 Goals
TSG HoffenheimHolstein KielFirst Half Result
TSG HoffenheimHolstein KielCorrect Score
TSG HoffenheimHolstein Kiel