Sonnenhof Großaspach vs DSC Arminia Bielefeld 2-2 Score & Prediction Review
DFB Pokal - Season 2026/2027 1st Round (Knock Out)
Sonnenhof Großaspach vs DSC Arminia Bielefeld stats: how the match was played
DFB Pokal
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Sonnenhof Großaspach created more than twice the chances
Sonnenhof Großaspach
DSC Arminia Bielefeld
2.8
Chances (xG)
1.3
7
Shots on target
5
3
Big chances
1
8
Corners
7
5
Yellow cards
2
0
Red cards
1
52%
Possession
48%
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Sonnenhof Großaspach vs DSC Arminia Bielefeld — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · DFB Pokal
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
DSC Arminia Bielefeld to win
WrongOur track record
In 1,062 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 67.0% of the time (bookmakers said 66.4%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
CorrectOur track record
In 5,732 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 1,157 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.0% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
WrongOur track record
In 937 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 60.1% of the time (bookmakers said 60.1%).
Our model’s pick
DSC Arminia Bielefeld ahead at half-time
CorrectOur track record
In 4,247 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.8% of the time (bookmakers said 47.3%).
Our model’s pick
Sonnenhof Großaspach 0–1 goals
WrongOur track record
In 842 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 74.0% of the time (bookmakers said 76.5%).
Our model’s pick
DSC Arminia Bielefeld 2+ goals
CorrectOur track record
In 2,695 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.1% of the time (bookmakers said 63.8%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Sonnenhof Großaspach vs DSC Arminia Bielefeld 2-2 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Sonnenhof Großaspach vs DSC Arminia Bielefeld. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Sonnenhof Großaspach2
DSC Arminia Bielefeld2Winner
2 64%
BTTS*
Yes 60%
Correct Score
1-2 09%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 66%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 55%
Sonnenhof Großaspach2DSC Arminia Bielefeld2Winner
2 64%
BTTS*
Yes 60%
Correct Score
1-2 09%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 66%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 55%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 16% | 84% | 34% | 66% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 45% | 55% | 69% | 31% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 49% | 51% | 76% | 24% |
 | 14% | 86% | 36% | 64% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 92% | 8% | 97% | 3% |
| 60% | 40% | 78% | 22% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
41%
X-2
17%
1-1
11%
X-X
11%
X-1
7%
1-X
4%
1-2
4%
2-X
4%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
1-2
9.0%
0-2
8.3%
1-1
8.0%
0-1
7.7%
1-3
6.8%
0-3
6.3%
2-2
4.9%
2-1
4.8%
0-0
4.1%
1-0
3.9%
2-3
3.7%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score