Würzburger Kickers vs FC Köln 1-2 Score & Prediction Review
DFB Pokal - Season 2026/2027 1st Round (Knock Out)
Würzburger Kickers1–2
FC KölnOn these chances Würzburger Kickers would usually take 1.0 points and FC Köln 1.8; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: FC Köln.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Würzburger Kickers vs FC Köln stats: how the match was played
DFB Pokal
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
FC Köln had more than twice the shots on target
Würzburger Kickers
FC Köln
2
Shots on target
6
2
Big chances
3
5
Corners
5
1
Yellow cards
1
34%
Possession
66%
Würzburger Kickers vs FC Köln — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · DFB Pokal
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
FC Köln to win
CorrectOur track record
In 1,805 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.4% of the time (bookmakers said 61.2%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
CorrectOur track record
In 5,708 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,105 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.5% of the time (bookmakers said 62.7%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 947 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.6% of the time (bookmakers said 59.9%).
Our model’s pick
FC Köln ahead at half-time
WrongOur track record
In 6,632 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.4% of the time (bookmakers said 44.1%).
Our model’s pick
Würzburger Kickers 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 1,589 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.7% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).
Our model’s pick
FC Köln 2+ goals
CorrectOur track record
In 1,590 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.7% of the time (bookmakers said 60.9%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Würzburger Kickers vs FC Köln 1-2 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Würzburger Kickers vs FC Köln. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Würzburger Kickers1
FC Köln2Winner
2 58%
BTTS*
Yes 58%
Correct Score
1-1 09%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 65%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 54%
Würzburger Kickers1FC Köln2Winner
2 58%
BTTS*
Yes 58%
Correct Score
1-1 09%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 65%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 54%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 16% | 84% | 35% | 65% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 46% | 54% | 69% | 31% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 43% | 57% | 71% | 29% |
| 17% | 83% | 40% | 60% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 89% | 11% | 95% | 5% |
| 64% | 36% | 82% | 18% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
33%
1-1
16%
X-2
14%
X-X
13%
X-1
10%
2-X
6%
1-X
4%
1-2
2%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
1-1
9.0%
1-2
8.6%
0-2
7.6%
0-1
7.5%
1-3
6.1%
0-3
5.8%
2-2
5.3%
2-1
5.2%
2-3
4.5%
0-0
4.4%
1-0
4.3%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score