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Vitesse vs NAC Breda 2-2 Score & Prediction Review

Eerste Divisie - Season 2026/2027 (Round 9)

The match between Vitesse and NAC Breda ended 2-2. Our AI model predicted a Vitesse win at 40% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 2.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: FC Volendam – Vitesse prediction & betting tips (Oct 9, 2026).

Vitesse vs NAC Breda — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Eerste Divisie

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Vitesse to win

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: NAC Breda to win.

Our model 40%Bookmakers 29%

Our track record

In 1,512 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 28.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 29.5% than to our 35–40%.

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct
Our model 62%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 2,420 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.8% of the time (bookmakers said 61.5%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 61%Bookmakers 65%

Our track record

In 3,053 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.7% of the time (bookmakers said 62.5%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 63%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 2,346 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.2% of the time (bookmakers said 63.0%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong
Our model 41%Bookmakers 37%

Our track record

In 6,641 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).

Vitesse Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Vitesse 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 55%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 3,402 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.4% of the time (bookmakers said 61.1%).

NAC Breda Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

NAC Breda 0–1 goals

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: NAC Breda 2+ goals.

Our model 58%Bookmakers 44%

Our track record

In 598 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 45.3% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 44.6% than to our 55–60%.

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Vitesse vs NAC Breda 2-2 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Vitesse vs NAC Breda. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Eerste Divisie - Netherlands
VitesseVitesse2
NAC BredaNAC Breda2

Winner

1X 63%

BTTS**

Yes 62%

Correct Score

1-1 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 61%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 53%

Full Time

140%
X23%
237%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT18%82%39%61%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT53%47%78%22%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Vitesse26%74%55%45%
NAC Breda27%73%58%42%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Vitesse80%20%93%7%
NAC Breda81%19%93%7%

1st Half

130%
X41%
229%

1st Score

151%
X4%
245%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

25%

2-2

19%

X-1

15%

X-X

13%

X-2

12%

2-X

6%

1-X

5%

1-2

4%

2-1

3%

Correct Score

1-1

10.5%

2-1

9.2%

1-2

8.3%

1-0

6.9%

0-1

6.9%

2-2

6.3%

2-0

5.5%

0-2

5.3%

3-1

4.4%

0-0

4.3%

1-3

4.2%

2-3

3.5%

3-2

3.5%

3-0

3.2%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Vitesse vs NAC Breda — Recent Form

Vitesse have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 8th in the table. NAC Breda have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 9th in the table.

Last 5 matches

VitesseVitesse
D
L
W
L
W
NAC BredaNAC Breda
D
W
W
L
L

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

VitesseVitesse
4/5
NAC BredaNAC Breda
2/5

Both Teams to Score

VitesseVitesse
3/5
NAC BredaNAC Breda
5/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

VitesseVitesse
3/5
NAC BredaNAC Breda
5/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

VitesseVitesse
3/5
NAC BredaNAC Breda
1/5

First Half Result

VitesseVitesse
0/5
NAC BredaNAC Breda
2/5

Correct Score

VitesseVitesse
1/5
NAC BredaNAC Breda
0/5
W
D
L
Last 5 Matchescorrect predictionwrong prediction

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