Fast starters
8/10Almere City scored first in 8 of 10 recent matches with goal times (league 48%).
Eerste Divisie Predictions & Stats
Free AI predictions for every upcoming Eerste Divisie match — 1X2, Both Teams to Score, Over/Under goals and Correct Score probabilities.
Predictions updated on 13 November 2026.
Eerste Divisie Predictions by Market
Season 2026/2027 · Round 15 · Regular Season
Full-Time Result
48%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
Both Teams To Score
65%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
61%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
60%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
First Half Result
36%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
Correct Score
11%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
Eerste Divisie 2026/2027 prediction accuracy over the last 100 matches: 1X2 48%, BTTS 65%, Over/Under 2.5 61%, Over/Under 3.5 60%, correct score 11%.
Eerste Divisie stats: goals, BTTS, corners and cards vs other leagues
How this competition ranks among the leagues and cups we cover for goals, chances (xG), corners and cards.
How to read it
last 12 months · 371 matchesrank 1 = highest of 63 competitionsGoals galoreAway days payCorner-heavy
Goals a match
3.3
7th of 63
xG a match
3.1
5th of 62
Corners a match
Cards a match
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We use the league's matches from the last 12 months, without qualifying rounds, and rank it against the 63 leagues and club competitions with 50 or more matches in that time (1 = highest). A label marks a league in the top fifth on goals, home or away wins, draws, cards or corners, or in the bottom fifth on goals. xG is our estimate of each match's chances from its shots.
Eerste Divisie: the stats that stand out
The Eerste Divisie teams most unusual in their last 10 games.
How to read it
the teamleague averageeach team's last 10 games8/10Always chasing
8/10Helmond Sport conceded first in 8 of 10 recent matches with goal times (league 48%).
Brick wall
4/10NAC Breda kept 4 clean sheets in their last 10 (league 19%).
Shot-shy
4/10Vitesse failed to score in 4 of their last 10 (league 19%).
Goals at both ends
9/10Jong AZ: both teams scored in 9 of their last 10 (league 65%).
Low-scoring
4/10RKC Waalwijk games went over 2.5 goals in only 4 of their last 10 (league 65%).
Banker as favourites
7/10Heracles Almelo won 7 of 10 as favourites (league 51%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each stat we show the club that stands out most, one club per stat. A fact needs at least 6 games and a result far enough from the league average to be unusual (at least one standard deviation).
How we measure →Today's Betting Tips for Eerste Divisie Netherlands
Free predictions for today's Eerste Divisie matches: 1X2, both teams to score, over/under and correct score.
NAC Breda–
FC Emmen–Winner
1 54%
BTTS*
Yes 63%
Correct Score
2-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 63%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 50%
NAC Breda–FC Emmen–Winner
1 54%
BTTS*
Yes 63%
Correct Score
2-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 63%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 50%
Full Time
154%
X22%
224%
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17% | 83% | 44% | 56% |
 | 37% | 63% | 67% | 33% |
Goals Over/Under
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 36% | 63% | 50% | 50% |
Correct Score
2-1
10.3%
1-1
9.7%
1-0
8.1%
2-0
7.2%
2-2
6.5%
1-2
6.4%
RKC Waalwijk–
FC Den Bosch–Winner
1X 70%
BTTS*
Yes 67%
Correct Score
1-1 09%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 68%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 57%
RKC Waalwijk–FC Den Bosch–Winner
1X 70%
BTTS*
Yes 67%
Correct Score
1-1 09%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 68%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 57%
FC Dordrecht–
Heracles Almelo–Winner
2 53%
BTTS*
Yes 64%
Correct Score
1-2 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 66%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 55%
FC Dordrecht–Heracles Almelo–Winner
2 53%
BTTS*
Yes 64%
Correct Score
1-2 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 66%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 55%
VVV-Venlo–
FC Eindhoven–Winner
1 55%
BTTS*
Yes 64%
Correct Score
2-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 66%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 53%
VVV-Venlo–FC Eindhoven–Winner
1 55%
BTTS*
Yes 64%
Correct Score
2-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 66%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 53%
Roda JC Kerkrade–
FC Volendam–Winner
1 57%
BTTS*
Yes 61%
Correct Score
2-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 63%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 51%
Roda JC Kerkrade–FC Volendam–Winner
1 57%
BTTS*
Yes 61%
Correct Score
2-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 63%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 51%
De Graafschap–
TOP Oss–Winner
1 61%
BTTS*
Yes 63%
Correct Score
2-1 09%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 68%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 57%
De Graafschap–TOP Oss–Winner
1 61%
BTTS*
Yes 63%
Correct Score
2-1 09%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 68%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 57%
Almere City–
Helmond Sport–Winner
1 54%
BTTS*
Yes 61%
Correct Score
2-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 63%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 50%
Almere City–Helmond Sport–Winner
1 54%
BTTS*
Yes 61%
Correct Score
2-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 63%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 50%
MVV Maastricht–
Vitesse–Winner
2 55%
BTTS*
Yes 54%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 57%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 55%
MVV Maastricht–Vitesse–Winner
2 55%
BTTS*
Yes 54%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 57%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 55%
Vitesse–
Jong AZ–Winner
1X 72%
BTTS*
Yes 66%
Correct Score
2-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 68%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 55%
Vitesse–Jong AZ–Winner
1X 72%
BTTS*
Yes 66%
Correct Score
2-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 68%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 55%
Heracles Almelo–
Jong PSV–Winner
1 67%
BTTS*
Yes 66%
Correct Score
2-1 09%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 73%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 63%
Heracles Almelo–Jong PSV–Winner
1 67%
BTTS*
Yes 66%
Correct Score
2-1 09%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 73%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 63%
Helmond Sport–FC Dordrecht–Winner
X2 72%
BTTS*
Yes 60%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 57%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 56%
Helmond Sport–FC Dordrecht–Winner
X2 72%
BTTS*
Yes 60%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 57%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 56%
TOP Oss–Roda JC Kerkrade–Winner
X2 65%
BTTS*
Yes 64%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 62%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 50%
TOP Oss–Roda JC Kerkrade–Winner
X2 65%
BTTS*
Yes 64%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 62%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 50%
Jong FC Utrecht–FC Emmen–Winner
X2 70%
BTTS*
Yes 66%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 64%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 52%
Jong FC Utrecht–FC Emmen–Winner
X2 70%
BTTS*
Yes 66%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 64%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 52%
De Graafschap–MVV Maastricht–Winner
1 57%
BTTS*
Yes 63%
Correct Score
2-1 09%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 67%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 55%
De Graafschap–MVV Maastricht–Winner
1 57%
BTTS*
Yes 63%
Correct Score
2-1 09%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 67%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 55%
Almere City–NAC Breda–Winner
X2 69%
BTTS*
Yes 62%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 62%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 51%
Almere City–NAC Breda–Winner
X2 69%
BTTS*
Yes 62%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 62%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 51%
FC Volendam–
Jong Ajax–Winner
1X 70%
BTTS*
Yes 70%
Correct Score
2-1 09%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 74%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 62%
FC Volendam–Jong Ajax–Winner
1X 70%
BTTS*
Yes 70%
Correct Score
2-1 09%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 74%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 62%
FC Den Bosch–VVV-Venlo–Winner
1X 65%
BTTS*
Yes 67%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 66%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 54%
FC Den Bosch–VVV-Venlo–Winner
1X 65%
BTTS*
Yes 67%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 66%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 54%
FC Eindhoven–RKC Waalwijk–Winner
X2 72%
BTTS*
Yes 63%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 63%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 51%
FC Eindhoven–RKC Waalwijk–Winner
X2 72%
BTTS*
Yes 63%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 63%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 51%
Jong PSV–Jong FC Utrecht–Winner
1X 69%
BTTS*
Yes 65%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 66%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 52%
Jong PSV–Jong FC Utrecht–Winner
1X 69%
BTTS*
Yes 65%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 66%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 52%
Jong Ajax–Jong AZ–Winner
X2 65%
BTTS*
Yes 68%
Correct Score
1-2 09%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 70%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 57%
Jong Ajax–Jong AZ–Winner
X2 65%
BTTS*
Yes 68%
Correct Score
1-2 09%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 70%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 57%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Eerste Divisie xG: chances created and allowed
Every Eerste Divisie team's chances created and allowed a game, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
each logo is a team · tap one for detailseach logo is a team · hover one for detailsEerste Divisie average · 1.57 xG, 1.58 xGAlast 10 games eachTap a logo to see the team's numbers
↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
Teams by box· 20
Good attack, good defence
Good attack, weak defence
Weak attack, good defence
Weak attack, weak defence
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Eerste Divisie Results vs the Odds
Season 2026/2027 and the last 30 days
How often each result has happened in Eerste Divisie this season (thick bar) and in the last 30 days (thin bar), next to what the bookmakers’ closing odds expected. The last 30 days cover fewer matches, so their normal range is wider and big swings there are still normal. This is not our prediction accuracy.
How to read it
what the closing odds expectednormal range: chance alone lands here 19 times in 20gap to the odds, in percentage pointsgap outside the normal rangethick bar: Season · thin bar: 30 days
Result · happened
◀ fewer −20◀ fewer than expected · −20 pts odds expected+20 more ▶+20 pts · more than expected ▶
Verdict
Home wins
139 matches
47.5%
Season (139) · 47.5% vs 44.4%
Season
+3.1
±7.9
30 days (39) · 25.6% vs 43.1%Fewer than expected
30 days
−17.5
±14.8Fewer than expected
Draws
139 matches
20.9%
Season (139) · 20.9% vs 22.8%
Season
−1.9
±7.0
30 days (39) · 28.2% vs 22.3%
30 days
+5.9
±13.0
Away wins
139 matches
31.7%
Season (139) · 31.7% vs 32.8%
Season
−1.2
±7.5
30 days (39) · 46.2% vs 34.6%
30 days
+11.6
±14.2
Over 2.5 goals
139 matches
65.5%
Season (139) · 65.5% vs 66.8%
Season
−1.3
±7.8
30 days (39) · 61.5% vs 67.3%
30 days
−5.8
±14.6
Both teams scored
139 matches
69.1%
Season (139) · 69.1% vs 65.8%
Season
+3.3
±7.8
30 days (39) · 74.4% vs 66.1%
30 days
+8.3
±14.8
Show more markets (6)Show fewer markets
Over 3.5 goals
139 matches
43.2%
Season (139) · 43.2% vs 45.8%
Season
−2.7
±8.2
30 days (39) · 35.9% vs 46.3%
30 days
−10.4
±15.5
Home side ahead at half-time
139 matches
41.0%
Season (139) · 41.0% vs 35.6%
Season
+5.4
±7.8
30 days (39) · 35.9% vs 34.6%
30 days
+1.3
±14.6
Level at half-time
139 matches
33.1%
Season (139) · 33.1% vs 35.9%
Season
−2.8
±8.0
30 days (39) · 20.5% vs 35.7%Fewer than expected
30 days
−15.1
±15.0Fewer than expected
Away side ahead at half-time
139 matches
25.9%
Season (139) · 25.9% vs 28.4%
Season
−2.5
±7.4
30 days (39) · 43.6% vs 29.7%
30 days
+13.9
±14.0
Home team scored 2+
139 matches
54.0%
Season (139) · 54.0% vs 54.6%
Season
−0.6
±8.0
30 days (39) · 41.0% vs 53.7%
30 days
−12.7
±15.2
Away team scored 2+
139 matches
45.3%
Season (139) · 45.3% vs 46.0%
Season
−0.7
±8.1
30 days (39) · 59.0% vs 47.9%
30 days
+11.1
±15.2
Shows what happened, not what comes next. Closing odds from one bookmaker per match, bookmaker margin removed. Updated daily.
Show as a tableHide the table
| Result | Period | Matches | Happened | Odds expected | Gap (pts) | Normal range (± pts) | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home wins | Season | 139 | 47.5% | 44.4% | +3.1 | ±7.9 | Normal range |
| Home wins | 30 days | 39 | 25.6% | 43.1% | −17.5 | ±14.8 | Fewer than expected |
| Draws | Season | 139 | 20.9% | 22.8% | −1.9 | ±7.0 | Normal range |
| Draws | 30 days | 39 | 28.2% | 22.3% | +5.9 | ±13.0 | Normal range |
| Away wins | Season | 139 | 31.7% | 32.8% | −1.2 | ±7.5 | Normal range |
| Away wins | 30 days | 39 | 46.2% | 34.6% | +11.6 | ±14.2 | Normal range |
| Over 2.5 goals | Season | 139 | 65.5% | 66.8% | −1.3 | ±7.8 | Normal range |
| Over 2.5 goals | 30 days | 39 | 61.5% | 67.3% | −5.8 | ±14.6 | Normal range |
| Both teams scored | Season | 139 | 69.1% | 65.8% | +3.3 | ±7.8 | Normal range |
| Both teams scored | 30 days | 39 | 74.4% | 66.1% | +8.3 | ±14.8 | Normal range |
| Over 3.5 goals | Season | 139 | 43.2% | 45.8% | −2.7 | ±8.2 | Normal range |
| Over 3.5 goals | 30 days | 39 | 35.9% | 46.3% | −10.4 | ±15.5 | Normal range |
| Home side ahead at half-time | Season | 139 | 41.0% | 35.6% | +5.4 | ±7.8 | Normal range |
| Home side ahead at half-time | 30 days | 39 | 35.9% | 34.6% | +1.3 | ±14.6 | Normal range |
| Level at half-time | Season | 139 | 33.1% | 35.9% | −2.8 | ±8.0 | Normal range |
| Level at half-time | 30 days | 39 | 20.5% | 35.7% | −15.1 | ±15.0 | Fewer than expected |
| Away side ahead at half-time | Season | 139 | 25.9% | 28.4% | −2.5 | ±7.4 | Normal range |
| Away side ahead at half-time | 30 days | 39 | 43.6% | 29.7% | +13.9 | ±14.0 | Normal range |
| Home team scored 2+ | Season | 139 | 54.0% | 54.6% | −0.6 | ±8.0 | Normal range |
| Home team scored 2+ | 30 days | 39 | 41.0% | 53.7% | −12.7 | ±15.2 | Normal range |
| Away team scored 2+ | Season | 139 | 45.3% | 46.0% | −0.7 | ±8.1 | Normal range |
| Away team scored 2+ | 30 days | 39 | 59.0% | 47.9% | +11.1 | ±15.2 | Normal range |
Eerste Divisie luck check: the last 10 games
Eerste Divisie teams taking more or fewer points than their chances usually bring, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringnormal range (±4)outside it+5.7 = 6 points more than their chances usually bringRiding their luck3
FC VolendamClinical · +6 goals+5.7
Roda JC Kerkrade+4.5
De Graafschap+4.1
Unlucky1
FC Dordrecht−5.2
Points in line, but wasteful: Jong Ajax (−7 goals), FC Emmen (−3). Clinical: Jong AZ (+6), Jong FC Utrecht (+4), VVV-Venlo (+4), TOP Oss (+4), Helmond Sport (+4).
In line with their chances: Almere City, Jong PSV, MVV Maastricht, Vitesse, FC Den Bosch, FC Eindhoven, Heracles Almelo, NAC Breda and RKC Waalwijk.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
How we measure →Eerste Divisie last week: smash-and-grab wins and upsets
Smash-and-grab wins (the side with clearly fewer chances won) and upsets (results the closing odds gave under 20%) from the last 7 days.
How to read it
Nov 6–Nov 13 · 2 matches · odds: closing, margin removed- FC Emmen0-2
MVV MaastrichtUpsetBookmakers gave MVV Maastricht 15.6% to win at kick-off.
FC Den Bosch1-1
Jong FC UtrechtUpsetBookmakers gave the draw 17.8% at kick-off.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Smash-and-grab: the winner had at least 0.8 less xG than the loser (our xG, from shots). Upset: the result the closing odds gave under 20%, with the bookmaker margin removed. Across our leagues about 6% of matches are smash-and-grab wins and about 5% are upsets.
How we measure →Eerste Divisie Standings
Check the current league table, team positions, points, and form. Click to view complete standings with detailed statistics.
#TEAM | MP | PTS | W | D | L | G | GD | FORM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1  Heracles Almelo | 14 | 35 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 44:15 | +29 | W W D W W |
2  VVV-Venlo | 14 | 29 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 37:22 | +15 | D W W D W |
3  Almere City | 14 | 28 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 30:14 | +16 | W W L L W |
4  NAC Breda | 14 | 25 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 25:20 | +5 | D W D W W |
5  Roda JC Kerkrade | 14 | 25 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 18:17 | +1 | L W W W D |
Promotion
Promotion Play-off
Possible Promotion Play-off
MP=Matches Played
PTS=Points
W=Wins
D=Draws
L=Losses
G=Goals (For:Against)
GD=Goal Difference
FORM=Last 5 Matches
The league profile compares Eerste Divisie with the 63 leagues and cups we rank over the last 12 months (rank 1 = highest). The stats that stand out pick the most unusual numbers from each team's last 10 games. The attack vs defence chart puts each team in one of four boxes: top right creates more and allows fewer chances than the league average. The luck check shows who got more or fewer points than their chances in the last 10 games, and Last week lists wins with fewer chances and results the bookmakers gave under 20%.
These statistics represent prediction accuracy based on the last 100 matches in the league. Accuracy reflects how often the model correctly predicted the outcome for each market. Our football predictions are generated using advanced AI techniques combined with historical match data, team form, player availability and head-to-head records to deliver reliable forecasts. Explore our prediction results tracker for live accuracy across all completed matches, our league accuracy data for competition-level breakdowns, or prediction performance for team-level insights.
About Eerste Divisie
The Eerste Divisie, known for sponsorship reasons as the Keuken Kampioen Divisie, is the second tier of professional football in the Netherlands. It has 20 clubs, including reserve teams such as Jong Ajax and Jong PSV, which can play in the league but cannot be promoted. The top two clubs go straight up to the Eredivisie, while period winners and other high finishers get another chance in the promotion play-offs. Many Dutch talents play their first senior matches in the Eerste Divisie.