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FC Eindhoven vs De Graafschap 2-2 Score & Prediction Review

Eerste Divisie - Season 2026/2027 (Round 9)

The match between FC Eindhoven and De Graafschap ended 2-2. Our AI model predicted an De Graafschap win at 40% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: De Graafschap – Jong FC Utrecht prediction & betting tips (Oct 9, 2026).

FC Eindhoven vs De Graafschap — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Eerste Divisie

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

De Graafschap to win

Wrong
Our model 40%Bookmakers 42%

Our track record

In 3,552 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 46.8% of the time (bookmakers said 46.8%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct
Our model 66%Bookmakers 68%

Our track record

In 387 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.8% of the time (bookmakers said 65.1%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 66%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 1,109 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 67.8% of the time (bookmakers said 66.7%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 56%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 895 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 60.2% of the time (bookmakers said 60.2%).

First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: De Graafschap ahead at half-time.

Our model 39%Bookmakers 36%

Our track record

In 1,174 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 35.8% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 35.2% than to our 35–40%.

FC Eindhoven Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

FC Eindhoven 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 55%Bookmakers 52%

Our track record

In 2,773 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.3% of the time (bookmakers said 58.6%).

De Graafschap Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

De Graafschap 0–1 goals

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: De Graafschap 2+ goals.

Our model 52%Bookmakers 46%

Our track record

In 826 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 43.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 42.7% than to our 50–55%.

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

FC Eindhoven vs De Graafschap 2-2 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for FC Eindhoven vs De Graafschap. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Eerste Divisie - Netherlands
FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven2
De GraafschapDe Graafschap2

Winner

X2 63%

BTTS**

Yes 66%

Correct Score

1-1 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 66%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

over 54%

Full Time

137%
X23%
240%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT15%85%34%66%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT46%54%72%28%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
FC Eindhoven26%74%55%45%
De Graafschap24%76%52%48%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
FC Eindhoven78%22%91%9%
De Graafschap77%23%90%10%

1st Half

131%
X39%
230%

1st Score

148%
X3%
249%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

23%

2-2

22%

X-2

13%

X-1

12%

X-X

12%

2-X

6%

1-X

5%

1-2

4%

2-1

3%

Correct Score

1-1

9.5%

1-2

9.0%

2-1

7.8%

2-2

7.3%

1-0

5.8%

0-1

5.7%

0-2

5.0%

1-3

4.8%

2-0

4.5%

3-1

4.3%

2-3

4.0%

3-2

3.8%

0-0

3.5%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

FC Eindhoven vs De Graafschap — Recent Form

FC Eindhoven have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 13th in the table. De Graafschap have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 19th in the table.

Last 5 matches

FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven
D
L
W
W
D
De GraafschapDe Graafschap
D
W
L
W
L

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

De GraafschapDe Graafschap
2/5
FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven
2/5

Both Teams to Score

De GraafschapDe Graafschap
3/5
FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven
4/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

De GraafschapDe Graafschap
4/5
FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven
4/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

De GraafschapDe Graafschap
3/5
FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven
2/5

First Half Result

De GraafschapDe Graafschap
1/5
FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven
3/5

Correct Score

De GraafschapDe Graafschap
0/5
FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven
0/5
W
D
L
Last 5 Matchescorrect predictionwrong prediction

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