Fast starters
8/10Legia Warszawa scored first in 8 of their last 10 (league 46%).
Cracovia Kraków vs Legia Warszawa Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Ekstraklasa - Season 2026/2027 (Round 11)
Riding their luck
Legia Warszawa are taking more points than their chances usually bring
+5points more than their chances usually bring in their last 10
85% of teams this far ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games.
Bookmakers: Legia Warszawa 39% to winCracovia Kraków 34%
Cracovia Kraków vs Legia Warszawa score prediction
Ekstraklasa
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Evenly matched in front of goal
2.5 goals in total, a little under the Ekstraklasa average of 2.8.
goals expected
Cracovia Kraków1.2Legia Warszawa1.3Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
How we measure →Get our AI football prediction and stats for Cracovia Kraków vs Legia Warszawa: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.
Cracovia Kraków vs Legia Warszawa — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Ekstraklasa
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Legia Warszawa to win
Our model 41%Bookmakers 39%
Our track record
In 3,556 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 46.7% of the time (bookmakers said 46.8%).
Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our model 54%Bookmakers 57%
Our track record
In 6,400 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.2% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
Our model 51%Bookmakers 48%
Our track record
In 2,814 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 43.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.2% than to our 50–55%.
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our model 73%Bookmakers 72%
Our track record
In 4,505 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.3% of the time (bookmakers said 71.6%).
First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our model 44%Bookmakers 43%
Our track record
In 6,613 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.8% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).
Cracovia Kraków Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Cracovia Kraków 0–1 goals
Our model 67%Bookmakers 61%
Our track record
In 2,665 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 69.0% of the time (bookmakers said 67.6%).
Legia Warszawa Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Legia Warszawa 0–1 goals
Our model 61%Bookmakers 57%
Our track record
In 2,657 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.0% of the time (bookmakers said 63.8%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Cracovia Kraków vs Legia Warszawa — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Cracovia Kraków vs Legia Warszawa. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Cracovia Kraków–
Legia Warszawa–Winner
X2 68%
BTTS*
Yes 54%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 63%
Cracovia Kraków–Legia Warszawa–Winner
X2 68%
BTTS*
Yes 54%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 63%
Full Time
132%
X27%
241%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 27% | 73% | 51% | 49% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 63% | 37% | 86% | 14% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 33% | 67% | 67% | 33% |
| 27% | 73% | 61% | 39% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 88% | 12% | 97% | 3% |
| 84% | 16% | 95% | 5% |
1st Half
123%
X44%
233%
1st Score
143%
X8%
249%
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
23%
1-1
17%
X-X
17%
X-2
15%
X-1
12%
2-X
6%
1-X
5%
1-2
3%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
1-1
12.9%
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.1%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
7.6%
0-0
7.5%
0-2
6.7%
2-2
5.7%
2-0
5.1%
1-3
4.0%
0-3
3.1%
3-1
3.1%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Cracovia Kraków vs Legia Warszawa: the stats that stand out
Ekstraklasa
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Legia Warszawa: fast starters, always on the scoresheet and banker as favourites
8/10Always on the scoresheet
0/10Legia Warszawa scored in all of their last 10 (league 24% fail to score).
Banker as favourites
6/10Legia Warszawa won 6 of 10 as favourites (league 44%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Cracovia Kraków vs Legia Warszawa: attack vs defence
Ekstraklasa
Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
other Ekstraklasa teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- Cracovia Kraków: good attack, weak defence (1.67 xG, 1.75 xGA a game)
- Legia Warszawa: good attack, good defence (1.74 xG, 1.46 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Cracovia Kraków vs Legia Warszawa form and luck check
Ekstraklasa
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Ekstraklasa gamesLegia Warszawa are taking more points than their chances usually bring
- Cracovia KrakówBookmakers: 34% to win today.Wasteful · −3 goals−2.1
- Legia WarszawaBookmakers: 39% to win today.Clinical · +6 goals+5.0
Last 5 matches
Legia WarszawaW
W
D
W
D
Cracovia KrakówW
L
L
L
L
W
D
L
Strength rank: Cracovia Kraków 12th of 18 · Legia Warszawa 2nd of 18
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 18 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →Cracovia Kraków vs Legia Warszawa: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
Ekstraklasa
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Ekstraklasa gamesBTTS = both teams scoredBoth teams score in Legia Warszawa games more often than the Ekstraklasa average (60%), in Cracovia Kraków games less often.
Over 2.5 goalsleague 55%
Cracovia Kraków6 of 10
Legia Warszawa5 of 10
BTTSleague 60%
Cracovia Kraków6 of 10
Legia Warszawa7 of 10
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 295 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Cracovia Kraków vs Legia Warszawa corners, cards and goal times
Ekstraklasa
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gameLegia Warszawa score early
Cracovia Kraków
Legia Warszawa
5.8
Corners won · league 4.8
4.6
5.2
Corners conceded · league 4.8
3.8
2.0
Cards · league 2.0
1.1
1.3
Opponents' cards · league 2.0
1.4
8%
Goals before half-time · league 45%
57%
33%
Goals after 75' · league 25%
22%
27%
Conceded before half-time · league 45%
50%
20%
Conceded after 75' · league 25%
13%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Legia Warszawa1/5
Cracovia Kraków2/5
Both Teams to Score
Legia Warszawa5/5
Cracovia Kraków4/5
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Legia Warszawa2/5
Cracovia Kraków3/5
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Legia Warszawa3/5
Cracovia Kraków2/5
First Half Result
Legia Warszawa1/5
Cracovia Kraków3/5
Correct Score
Legia Warszawa2/5
Cracovia Kraków0/5
correct predictionwrong prediction