Hard to break
1/10Lech Poznań conceded first in only 1 of 10 recent matches with goal times (league 46%).
Ekstraklasa Predictions & Stats
Free AI predictions for every upcoming Ekstraklasa match — 1X2, Both Teams to Score, Over/Under goals and Correct Score probabilities.
Predictions updated on 11 October 2026.
Ekstraklasa Predictions by Market
Season 2026/2027 · Round 10 · Regular Season
Full-Time Result
44%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
Both Teams To Score
67%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
71%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
65%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
First Half Result
46%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
Correct Score
10%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
Ekstraklasa 2026/2027 prediction accuracy over the last 100 matches: 1X2 44%, BTTS 67%, Over/Under 2.5 71%, Over/Under 3.5 65%, correct score 10%.
Ekstraklasa stats: goals, BTTS, corners and cards vs other leagues
How this competition ranks among the leagues and cups we cover for goals, chances (xG), corners and cards.
How to read it
last 12 months · 295 matchesrank 1 = highest of 63 competitionsGoals a match
2.77
25th of 63
xG a match
3
8th of 62
Corners a match
9.68
32nd of 62
Cards a match
4.05
38th of 63
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We use the league's matches from the last 12 months, without qualifying rounds, and rank it against the 63 leagues and club competitions with 50 or more matches in that time (1 = highest). A label marks a league in the top fifth on goals, home or away wins, draws, cards or corners, or in the bottom fifth on goals. xG is our estimate of each match's chances from its shots.
Ekstraklasa: the stats that stand out
The Ekstraklasa teams most unusual in their last 10 games.
How to read it
the teamleague averageeach team's last 10 games1/10Goal-fests
9/10Raków Częstochowa games went over 2.5 goals in 9 of their last 10 (league 55%).
Fast starters
8/10Legia Warszawa scored first in 8 of 10 recent matches with goal times (league 46%).
Goals at both ends
9/10Śląsk Wrocław: both teams scored in 9 of their last 10 (league 60%).
Banker as favourites
6/8Górnik Zabrze won 6 of 8 as favourites (league 44%).
Always on the scoresheet
0/9Wisła Kraków scored in all of their last 9 (league 24% fail to score).
Brick wall
4/10Pogoń Szczecin kept 4 clean sheets in their last 10 (league 24%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each stat we show the club that stands out most, one club per stat. A fact needs at least 6 games and a result far enough from the league average to be unusual (at least one standard deviation).
How we measure →Today's Betting Tips for Ekstraklasa Poland
Free predictions for today's Ekstraklasa matches: 1X2, both teams to score, over/under and correct score.
Piast Gliwice2
Widzew Lodz1Winner
1X 69%
BTTS*
Yes 56%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 63%
Piast Gliwice2Widzew Lodz1Winner
1X 69%
BTTS*
Yes 56%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 63%
Full Time
140%
X29%
231%
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 27% | 73% | 60% | 40% |
 | 33% | 67% | 67% | 33% |
Goals Over/Under
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 51% | 49% | 63% | 37% |
Correct Score
1-1
12.8%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.1%
0-0
8.3%
0-1
8.0%
1-2
7.8%
2-0
7.1%
2-2
6.2%
Pogoń Szczecin2
Korona Kielce0Winner
1X 71%
BTTS*
Yes 59%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 58%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 55%
Pogoń Szczecin2Korona Kielce0Winner
1X 71%
BTTS*
Yes 59%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 58%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 55%
Legia Warszawa2
Wisła Kraków0Winner
1X 68%
BTTS*
Yes 60%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 59%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 55%
Legia Warszawa2Wisła Kraków0Winner
1X 68%
BTTS*
Yes 60%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 59%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 55%
Radomiak Radom–
Motor Lublin–Winner
1X 73%
BTTS*
Yes 63%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 61%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 53%
Radomiak Radom–Motor Lublin–Winner
1X 73%
BTTS*
Yes 63%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 61%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 53%
Wieczysta Kraków–
Raków Częstochowa–Winner
1 51%
BTTS*
Yes 64%
Correct Score
2-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 66%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 53%
Wieczysta Kraków–Raków Częstochowa–Winner
1 51%
BTTS*
Yes 64%
Correct Score
2-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 66%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 53%
Widzew Lodz–Wisła Kraków–Winner
X2 67%
BTTS*
Yes 60%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 61%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 52%
Widzew Lodz–Wisła Kraków–Winner
X2 67%
BTTS*
Yes 60%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 61%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 52%
Motor Lublin–
Śląsk Wrocław–Winner
1X 66%
BTTS*
Yes 60%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 57%
Motor Lublin–Śląsk Wrocław–Winner
1X 66%
BTTS*
Yes 60%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 57%
Katowice–Pogoń Szczecin–Winner
1X 74%
BTTS*
Yes 57%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 59%
Katowice–Pogoń Szczecin–Winner
1X 74%
BTTS*
Yes 57%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 59%
Cracovia Kraków–Legia Warszawa–Winner
X2 68%
BTTS*
Yes 54%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 63%
Cracovia Kraków–Legia Warszawa–Winner
X2 68%
BTTS*
Yes 54%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 63%
Górnik Zabrze–Piast Gliwice–Winner
12 76%
BTTS*
Yes 60%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 59%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 55%
Górnik Zabrze–Piast Gliwice–Winner
12 76%
BTTS*
Yes 60%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 59%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 55%
Zagłębie Lubin–
Jagiellonia Białystok–Winner
1X 68%
BTTS*
Yes 56%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 61%
Zagłębie Lubin–Jagiellonia Białystok–Winner
1X 68%
BTTS*
Yes 56%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 61%
Lech Poznań–Korona Kielce–Winner
1 61%
BTTS*
Yes 56%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 61%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 51%
Lech Poznań–Korona Kielce–Winner
1 61%
BTTS*
Yes 56%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 61%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 51%
Wisła Płock–Radomiak Radom–Winner
1X 75%
BTTS*
Yes 55%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 61%
Wisła Płock–Radomiak Radom–Winner
1X 75%
BTTS*
Yes 55%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 61%
Motor Lublin–Zagłębie Lubin–Winner
1X 67%
BTTS*
Yes 58%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 59%
Motor Lublin–Zagłębie Lubin–Winner
1X 67%
BTTS*
Yes 58%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 59%
Widzew Lodz–Górnik Zabrze–Winner
12 72%
BTTS*
Yes 56%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 60%
Widzew Lodz–Górnik Zabrze–Winner
12 72%
BTTS*
Yes 56%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 60%
Piast Gliwice–Cracovia Kraków–Winner
12 73%
BTTS*
Yes 60%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 58%
Piast Gliwice–Cracovia Kraków–Winner
12 73%
BTTS*
Yes 60%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 58%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Ekstraklasa xG: chances created and allowed
Every Ekstraklasa team's chances created and allowed a game, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
each logo is a team · tap one for detailseach logo is a team · hover one for detailsEkstraklasa average · 1.61 xG, 1.62 xGAlast 10 games eachTap a logo to see the team's numbers
↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
Teams by box· 18
Good attack, good defence
Good attack, weak defence
Weak attack, good defence
Weak attack, weak defence
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Ekstraklasa Results vs the Odds
Season 2026/2027 and the last 30 days
How often each result has happened in Ekstraklasa this season (thick bar) and in the last 30 days (thin bar), next to what the bookmakers’ closing odds expected. The last 30 days cover fewer matches, so their normal range is wider and big swings there are still normal. This is not our prediction accuracy.
How to read it
what the closing odds expectednormal range: chance alone lands here 19 times in 20gap to the odds, in percentage pointsgap outside the normal rangethick bar: Season · thin bar: 30 days
Result · happened
◀ fewer −25◀ fewer than expected · −25 pts odds expected+25 more ▶+25 pts · more than expected ▶
Verdict
Home wins
83 matches
44.6%
Season (83) · 44.6% vs 43.5%
Season
+1.1
±10.4
30 days (25) · 48.0% vs 42.1%
30 days
+5.9
±18.9
Draws
83 matches
22.9%
Season (83) · 22.9% vs 25.9%
Season
−3.0
±9.4
30 days (25) · 12.0% vs 25.7%
30 days
−13.7
±17.1
Away wins
83 matches
32.5%
Season (83) · 32.5% vs 30.6%
Season
+1.9
±9.7
30 days (25) · 40.0% vs 32.1%
30 days
+7.9
±18.0
Over 2.5 goals
83 matches
62.7%
Season (83) · 62.7% vs 54.2%
Season
+8.5
±10.6
30 days (25) · 72.0% vs 56.0%
30 days
+16.0
±19.3
Both teams scored
83 matches
66.3%
Season (83) · 66.3% vs 56.6%
Season
+9.6
±10.6
30 days (25) · 72.0% vs 58.2%
30 days
+13.8
±19.3
Show more markets (6)Show fewer markets
Over 3.5 goals
83 matches
32.5%
Season (83) · 32.5% vs 32.3%
Season
+0.2
±10.0
30 days (25) · 44.0% vs 34.1%
30 days
+9.9
±18.4
Home side ahead at half-time
83 matches
22.9%
Season (83) · 22.9% vs 33.8%Fewer than expected
Season
−10.9
±10.1Fewer than expected
30 days (25) · 32.0% vs 33.2%
30 days
−1.2
±18.3
Level at half-time
83 matches
43.4%
Season (83) · 43.4% vs 40.7%
Season
+2.6
±10.6
30 days (25) · 36.0% vs 40.1%
30 days
−4.1
±19.2
Away side ahead at half-time
83 matches
33.7%
Season (83) · 33.7% vs 25.5%
Season
+8.2
±9.3
30 days (25) · 32.0% vs 26.7%
30 days
+5.3
±17.2
Home team scored 2+
83 matches
53.0%
Season (83) · 53.0% vs 46.2%
Season
+6.8
±10.5
30 days (25) · 56.0% vs 46.6%
30 days
+9.4
±19.2
Away team scored 2+
83 matches
39.8%
Season (83) · 39.8% vs 36.3%
Season
+3.4
±10.2
30 days (25) · 52.0% vs 39.0%
30 days
+13.0
±18.9
Outside the normal range this season: Home side ahead at half-time 22.9% vs 33.8% expected (chance alone: about 1 in 30).
Shows what happened, not what comes next. Closing odds from one bookmaker per match, bookmaker margin removed. Updated daily.
Show as a tableHide the table
| Result | Period | Matches | Happened | Odds expected | Gap (pts) | Normal range (± pts) | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home wins | Season | 83 | 44.6% | 43.5% | +1.1 | ±10.4 | Normal range |
| Home wins | 30 days | 25 | 48.0% | 42.1% | +5.9 | ±18.9 | Normal range |
| Draws | Season | 83 | 22.9% | 25.9% | −3.0 | ±9.4 | Normal range |
| Draws | 30 days | 25 | 12.0% | 25.7% | −13.7 | ±17.1 | Normal range |
| Away wins | Season | 83 | 32.5% | 30.6% | +1.9 | ±9.7 | Normal range |
| Away wins | 30 days | 25 | 40.0% | 32.1% | +7.9 | ±18.0 | Normal range |
| Over 2.5 goals | Season | 83 | 62.7% | 54.2% | +8.5 | ±10.6 | Normal range |
| Over 2.5 goals | 30 days | 25 | 72.0% | 56.0% | +16.0 | ±19.3 | Normal range |
| Both teams scored | Season | 83 | 66.3% | 56.6% | +9.6 | ±10.6 | Normal range |
| Both teams scored | 30 days | 25 | 72.0% | 58.2% | +13.8 | ±19.3 | Normal range |
| Over 3.5 goals | Season | 83 | 32.5% | 32.3% | +0.2 | ±10.0 | Normal range |
| Over 3.5 goals | 30 days | 25 | 44.0% | 34.1% | +9.9 | ±18.4 | Normal range |
| Home side ahead at half-time | Season | 83 | 22.9% | 33.8% | −10.9 | ±10.1 | Fewer than expected |
| Home side ahead at half-time | 30 days | 25 | 32.0% | 33.2% | −1.2 | ±18.3 | Normal range |
| Level at half-time | Season | 83 | 43.4% | 40.7% | +2.6 | ±10.6 | Normal range |
| Level at half-time | 30 days | 25 | 36.0% | 40.1% | −4.1 | ±19.2 | Normal range |
| Away side ahead at half-time | Season | 83 | 33.7% | 25.5% | +8.2 | ±9.3 | Normal range |
| Away side ahead at half-time | 30 days | 25 | 32.0% | 26.7% | +5.3 | ±17.2 | Normal range |
| Home team scored 2+ | Season | 83 | 53.0% | 46.2% | +6.8 | ±10.5 | Normal range |
| Home team scored 2+ | 30 days | 25 | 56.0% | 46.6% | +9.4 | ±19.2 | Normal range |
| Away team scored 2+ | Season | 83 | 39.8% | 36.3% | +3.4 | ±10.2 | Normal range |
| Away team scored 2+ | 30 days | 25 | 52.0% | 39.0% | +13.0 | ±18.9 | Normal range |
Ekstraklasa luck check: the last 10 games
Ekstraklasa teams taking more or fewer points than their chances usually bring, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringnormal range (±4)outside it+7.4 = 7 points more than their chances usually bringRiding their luck3
- Górnik ZabrzeClinical · +4 goals+7.4
- Pogoń Szczecin+5.1
- Legia WarszawaClinical · +6 goals+5.0
Unlucky3
- Raków Częstochowa−8.7
Motor LublinWasteful · −5 goals−5.4- Śląsk Wrocław−4.2
Points in line, but wasteful: Radomiak Radom (−6 goals), Cracovia Kraków (−3), Wisła Płock (−3). Clinical: Lech Poznań (+3), Piast Gliwice (+3).
In line with their chances: Zagłębie Lubin, Korona Kielce, Wisła Kraków, Jagiellonia Białystok, Katowice, Widzew Lodz and Wieczysta Kraków.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
How we measure →Ekstraklasa last week: smash-and-grab wins and upsets
Smash-and-grab wins (the side with clearly fewer chances won) and upsets (results the closing odds gave under 20%) from the last 7 days.
How to read it
Oct 4–Oct 11 · 8 matches · odds: closing, margin removedNo smash-and-grab wins or upsets in these 8 matches.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Smash-and-grab: the winner had at least 0.8 less xG than the loser (our xG, from shots). Upset: the result the closing odds gave under 20%, with the bookmaker margin removed. Across our leagues about 6% of matches are smash-and-grab wins and about 5% are upsets.
How we measure →Ekstraklasa Standings
Check the current league table, team positions, points, and form. Click to view complete standings with detailed statistics.
#TEAM | MP | PTS | W | D | L | G | GD | FORM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1  Górnik Zabrze | 10 | 25 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 19:9 | +10 | W D W W W |
2  Lech Poznań | 9 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 21:8 | +13 | W W L W W |
3  Legia Warszawa | 10 | 22 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 21:8 | +13 | W W D W D |
4  Pogoń Szczecin | 9 | 18 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 14:6 | +8 | W W W D D |
5  Wisła Kraków | 10 | 17 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17:14 | +3 | L W W D W |
UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
UEFA Europa League Qualifiers
UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
Relegation
MP=Matches Played
PTS=Points
W=Wins
D=Draws
L=Losses
G=Goals (For:Against)
GD=Goal Difference
FORM=Last 5 Matches
About Ekstraklasa
The league profile compares Ekstraklasa with the 63 leagues and cups we rank over the last 12 months (rank 1 = highest). The stats that stand out pick the most unusual numbers from each team's last 10 games. The attack vs defence chart puts each team in one of four boxes: top right creates more and allows fewer chances than the league average. The luck check shows who got more or fewer points than their chances in the last 10 games, and Last week lists wins with fewer chances and results the bookmakers gave under 20%.
These statistics represent prediction accuracy based on the last 100 matches in the league. Accuracy reflects how often the model correctly predicted the outcome for each market. Our football predictions are generated using advanced AI techniques combined with historical match data, team form, player availability, tactical trends, and head-to-head records to deliver reliable forecasts. Explore our prediction results tracker for live accuracy across all completed matches, our league accuracy data for competition-level breakdowns, or prediction performance for team-level insights.
Ekstraklasa is the top professional football league in Poland. It consists of 16 teams and operates on a system of promotion and relegation with the I liga. Ekstraklasa is known for its competitive matches and passionate fan base. Legia Warsaw is the most successful club in Ekstraklasa history, having won numerous league titles.