Always chasing
8/10Raków Częstochowa conceded first in 8 of their last 10 (league 46%).
- Home
- Raków Częstochowa vs Widzew Lodz
Raków Częstochowa vs Widzew Lodz Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Ekstraklasa - Season 2026/2027 (Round 15)
Always chasing
Raków Częstochowa conceded first in 8 of their last 10 (league 46%).
8/10Conceded first · Raków Częstochowa
Bookmakers: Raków Częstochowa 48% to winWidzew Lodz 28%
Raków Częstochowa vs Widzew Lodz score prediction
Ekstraklasa
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Evenly matched in front of goal
2.8 goals in total, in line with the Ekstraklasa average of 2.8.
goals expected
Raków Częstochowa1.6
Widzew Lodz1.2Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
How we measure →Get our AI football prediction and stats for Raków Częstochowa vs Widzew Lodz: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.
Raków Częstochowa vs Widzew Lodz — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Ekstraklasa
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Raków Częstochowa to win
Our model 46%Bookmakers 48%
Our track record
In 3,525 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.7% of the time (bookmakers said 50.7%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Raków Częstochowa vs Widzew Lodz — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Raków Częstochowa vs Widzew Lodz. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Raków Częstochowa–
Widzew Lodz–Winner
1X 72%
BTTS*
Yes 59%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 58%
Raków Częstochowa–Widzew Lodz–Winner
1X 72%
BTTS*
Yes 59%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 58%
Full Time
146%
X26%
228%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 22% | 78% | 45% | 55% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 58% | 42% | 81% | 19% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22% | 78% | 53% | 47% |
| 34% | 66% | 67% | 33% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 78% | 22% | 92% | 8% |
| 88% | 12% | 96% | 4% |
1st Half
133%
X45%
222%
1st Score
153%
X6%
241%
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
25%
X-1
17%
X-X
17%
2-2
14%
X-2
11%
2-X
6%
1-X
5%
1-2
3%
2-1
3%
Correct Score
1-1
11.6%
2-1
10.1%
1-0
8.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-0
7.1%
0-1
6.6%
0-0
6.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-1
5.0%
0-2
4.0%
3-0
3.8%
3-2
3.4%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Raków Częstochowa vs Widzew Lodz: the stats that stand out
Ekstraklasa
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Raków Częstochowa: always chasing and leaky · Widzew Lodz: flop as favourites
8/10Leaky
0/10Raków Częstochowa kept no clean sheet in their last 10 (league 24%).
Flop as favourites
1/6Widzew Lodz won only 1 of 6 as favourites (league 48%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Raków Częstochowa vs Widzew Lodz: attack vs defence
Ekstraklasa
Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
other Ekstraklasa teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- Raków Częstochowa: good attack, weak defence (1.84 xG, 1.91 xGA a game)
- Widzew Lodz: weak attack, weak defence (1.42 xG, 1.66 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Raków Częstochowa vs Widzew Lodz form and luck check
Ekstraklasa
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Ekstraklasa gamesBoth results in line with their chances
- Raków CzęstochowaBookmakers: 48% to win today.−1.9
- Widzew LodzBookmakers: 28% to win today.−3.5
Last 5 matches
Raków CzęstochowaW
W
L
W
L
Widzew LodzW
L
D
D
L
W
D
L
Strength rank: Raków Częstochowa 6th of 18 · Widzew Lodz 7th of 18
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 18 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →Raków Częstochowa vs Widzew Lodz: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
Ekstraklasa
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Ekstraklasa gamesBTTS = both teams scoredRaków Częstochowa and Widzew Lodz games both go over 2.5 goals more often than the Ekstraklasa average (54%).
Over 2.5 goalsleague 54%
Raków Częstochowa9 of 10
Widzew Lodz6 of 10
BTTSleague 60%
Raków Częstochowa9 of 10
Widzew Lodz7 of 10
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 300 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Raków Częstochowa vs Widzew Lodz corners, cards and goal times
Ekstraklasa
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per game- Corners won: league 4.9
- Cards: league 2.0
- Goals before half-time: league 44%
- Goals after 75': league 25%
Corners and cards for every league: League stats →
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Raków Częstochowa2/5
Widzew Lodz3/5
Both Teams to Score
Raków Częstochowa5/5
Widzew Lodz3/5
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Raków Częstochowa5/5
Widzew Lodz2/5
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Raków Częstochowa2/5
Widzew Lodz4/5
First Half Result
Raków Częstochowa1/5
Widzew Lodz3/5
Correct Score
Raków Częstochowa1/5
Widzew Lodz1/5
correct predictionwrong prediction