Hard to break
3/10Zagłębie Lubin conceded first in only 3 of their last 10 (league 46%).
Zagłębie Lubin vs Jagiellonia Białystok Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Ekstraklasa - Season 2026/2027 (Round 11)
Hard to break
Zagłębie Lubin conceded first in only 3 of their last 10 (league 46%).
3/10Conceded first · Zagłębie Lubin
Bookmakers: Zagłębie Lubin 33% to winJagiellonia Białystok 41%
Zagłębie Lubin vs Jagiellonia Białystok score prediction
Ekstraklasa
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Evenly matched in front of goal
2.7 goals in total, a little under the Ekstraklasa average of 2.8.
goals expected
Zagłębie Lubin1.4
Jagiellonia Białystok1.3Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
How we measure →Get our AI football prediction and stats for Zagłębie Lubin vs Jagiellonia Białystok: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.
Zagłębie Lubin vs Jagiellonia Białystok — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Ekstraklasa
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Disagrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Zagłębie Lubin to win
Our model 43%Bookmakers 33%
Our track record
In 1,028 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 30.4% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 30.3% than to our 40–45%.
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Zagłębie Lubin vs Jagiellonia Białystok — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Zagłębie Lubin vs Jagiellonia Białystok. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Zagłębie Lubin–
Jagiellonia Białystok–Winner
1X 68%
BTTS*
Yes 56%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 61%
Zagłębie Lubin–Jagiellonia Białystok–Winner
1X 68%
BTTS*
Yes 56%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 61%
Full Time
143%
X26%
232%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 25% | 75% | 48% | 52% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 61% | 39% | 84% | 16% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25% | 75% | 58% | 42% |
| 32% | 68% | 66% | 34% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 82% | 18% | 94% | 6% |
| 87% | 13% | 96% | 4% |
1st Half
135%
X39%
226%
1st Score
149%
X7%
244%
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
25%
2-2
18%
X-X
16%
X-1
14%
X-2
10%
1-X
6%
2-X
6%
1-2
3%
2-1
3%
Correct Score
1-1
12.0%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.6%
0-0
6.8%
2-0
6.6%
2-2
5.6%
0-2
4.5%
3-1
4.3%
3-0
3.3%
3-2
3.2%
1-3
3.1%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Zagłębie Lubin vs Jagiellonia Białystok: the stats that stand out
Ekstraklasa
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Zagłębie Lubin: hard to break
3/10Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Zagłębie Lubin vs Jagiellonia Białystok: attack vs defence
Ekstraklasa
Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
other Ekstraklasa teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- Zagłębie Lubin: weak attack, weak defence (1.39 xG, 1.65 xGA a game)
- Jagiellonia Białystok: weak attack, weak defence (1.57 xG, 1.72 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Zagłębie Lubin vs Jagiellonia Białystok form and luck check
Ekstraklasa
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Ekstraklasa gamesBoth results in line with their chances
- Zagłębie LubinBookmakers: 33% to win today.+3.3
- Jagiellonia BiałystokBookmakers: 41% to win today.+2.5
Last 5 matches
Zagłębie LubinL
L
W
W
D
Jagiellonia BiałystokL
L
L
W
L
W
D
L
Strength rank: Zagłębie Lubin 14th of 18 · Jagiellonia Białystok 7th of 18
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 18 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →Zagłębie Lubin vs Jagiellonia Białystok: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
Ekstraklasa
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Ekstraklasa gamesBTTS = both teams scoredJagiellonia Białystok games go over 2.5 goals more often than the Ekstraklasa average (55%), Zagłębie Lubin games less often.
Over 2.5 goalsleague 55%
Zagłębie Lubin5 of 10
Jagiellonia Białystok6 of 10
BTTSleague 60%
Zagłębie Lubin6 of 10
Jagiellonia Białystok6 of 10
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 295 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Zagłębie Lubin vs Jagiellonia Białystok corners, cards and goal times
Ekstraklasa
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gameJagiellonia Białystok score early, Zagłębie Lubin late
Zagłębie Lubin
Jagiellonia Białystok
3.6
Corners won · league 4.8
3.9
6.0
Corners conceded · league 4.8
5.0
2.6
Cards · league 2.0
1.5
1.8
Opponents' cards · league 2.0
1.5
25%
Goals before half-time · league 45%
57%
50%
Goals after 75' · league 25%
36%
31%
Conceded before half-time · league 45%
31%
54%
Conceded after 75' · league 25%
31%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Jagiellonia Białystok3/5
Zagłębie Lubin2/5
Both Teams to Score
Jagiellonia Białystok4/5
Zagłębie Lubin4/5
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Jagiellonia Białystok3/5
Zagłębie Lubin3/5
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Jagiellonia Białystok3/5
Zagłębie Lubin3/5
First Half Result
Jagiellonia Białystok3/5
Zagłębie Lubin1/5
Correct Score
Jagiellonia Białystok1/5
Zagłębie Lubin1/5
correct predictionwrong prediction