Brick wall
4/10SC Heerenveen kept 4 clean sheets in their last 10 (league 19%).
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SC Heerenveen vs NEC Nijmegen Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Eredivisie - Season 2026/2027 (Round 11)
Unlucky
NEC are taking fewer points than their chances usually bring
−4points fewer than their chances usually bring in their last 10
83% of teams this far behind their chances got more points in their next 10 games.
Bookmakers: NEC 25% to winSC Heerenveen 52%
SC Heerenveen vs NEC score prediction
Eredivisie
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Evenly matched in front of goal
3.4 goals in total, a little over the Eredivisie average of 3.3.
goals expected
SC Heerenveen1.7
NEC1.7Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
How we measure →Get our AI football prediction and stats for SC Heerenveen vs NEC: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.
SC Heerenveen vs NEC — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Eredivisie
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
SC Heerenveen to win
Our model 51%Bookmakers 52%
Our track record
In 2,464 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.7% of the time (bookmakers said 55.1%).
Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our model 59%Bookmakers 68%
Our track record
In 5,685 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our model 60%Bookmakers 68%
Our track record
In 5,298 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our model 62%Bookmakers 54%
Our track record
In 2,377 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.7% of the time (bookmakers said 62.8%).
First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
SC Heerenveen ahead at half-time
Our model 42%Bookmakers 41%
Our track record
In 6,644 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).
SC Heerenveen Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
SC Heerenveen 2+ goals
Our model 52%Bookmakers 62%
Our track record
In 2,800 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.3% of the time (bookmakers said 58.7%).
NEC Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
NEC 0–1 goals
Our model 69%Bookmakers 58%
Our track record
In 3,263 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.1% of the time (bookmakers said 67.8%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
SC Heerenveen vs NEC — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for SC Heerenveen vs NEC. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
SC Heerenveen–
NEC–Winner
1 51%
BTTS*
Yes 59%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 60%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 52%
SC Heerenveen–NEC–Winner
1 51%
BTTS*
Yes 59%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 60%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 52%
Full Time
151%
X23%
226%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 20% | 80% | 40% | 60% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 52% | 48% | 76% | 24% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20% | 80% | 48% | 52% |
| 38% | 62% | 69% | 31% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 71% | 29% | 87% | 13% |
| 88% | 12% | 96% | 4% |
1st Half
142%
X37%
221%
1st Score
159%
X5%
235%
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
37%
X-1
16%
2-2
13%
X-X
11%
X-2
8%
1-X
5%
2-1
4%
2-X
4%
1-2
2%
Correct Score
1-1
10.2%
2-1
8.9%
1-0
8.2%
2-0
6.8%
1-2
6.5%
0-1
6.3%
2-2
5.6%
0-0
5.4%
3-1
5.3%
3-0
4.6%
3-2
4.0%
0-2
3.7%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
SC Heerenveen vs NEC: the stats that stand out
Eredivisie
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%SC Heerenveen: brick wall and slow starters
4/10Slow starters
3/10SC Heerenveen scored first in only 3 of their last 10 (league 48%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →SC Heerenveen vs NEC: attack vs defence
Eredivisie
Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
other Eredivisie teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- SC Heerenveen: good attack, good defence (1.67 xG, 1.51 xGA a game)
- NEC: good attack, good defence (1.89 xG, 1.35 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →SC Heerenveen vs NEC form and luck check
Eredivisie
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Eredivisie gamesNEC are taking fewer points than their chances usually bring
- SC HeerenveenBookmakers: 52% to win today.−2.3
- NECBookmakers: 25% to win today.Wasteful · −4 goals−4.3
Last 5 matches
SC HeerenveenW
L
W
D
L
NECD
D
D
L
D
W
D
L
Strength rank: SC Heerenveen 7th of 18 · NEC 6th of 18
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 18 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →SC Heerenveen vs NEC: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
Eredivisie
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Eredivisie gamesBTTS = both teams scoredBoth teams score in SC Heerenveen games less often than the Eredivisie average (65%), in NEC games more often.
Over 2.5 goalsleague 63%
SC Heerenveen6 of 10
NEC8 of 10
BTTSleague 65%
SC Heerenveen4 of 10
NEC9 of 10
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 309 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →SC Heerenveen vs NEC corners, cards and goal times
Eredivisie
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gameGoal times close to the Eredivisie average
SC Heerenveen
NEC
5.2
Corners won · league 5.3
6.5
5.3
Corners conceded · league 5.3
3.4
1.0
Cards · league 1.6
1.4
1.2
Opponents' cards · league 1.6
1.9
35%
Goals before half-time · league 44%
53%
29%
Goals after 75' · league 22%
24%
29%
Conceded before half-time · league 44%
47%
14%
Conceded after 75' · league 22%
12%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
NEC0/5
SC Heerenveen3/5
Both Teams to Score
NEC4/5
SC Heerenveen1/5
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
NEC3/5
SC Heerenveen3/5
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
NEC3/5
SC Heerenveen2/5
First Half Result
NEC1/5
SC Heerenveen2/5
Correct Score
NEC1/5
SC Heerenveen0/5
correct predictionwrong prediction