1. Go Ahead Eagles vs Fortuna Sittard

Go Ahead Eagles vs Fortuna Sittard Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Eredivisie - Season 2026/2027 (Round 13)

Riding their luck

Fortuna Sittard are taking more points than their chances usually bring

+9points more than their chances usually bring in their last 10

85% of teams this far ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games.

Bookmakers: Fortuna Sittard 19% to winGo Ahead Eagles 59%

Go Ahead Eagles vs Fortuna Sittard score prediction

Eredivisie

The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.

Go Ahead Eagles expected to create clearly more

3.4 goals in total, in line with the Eredivisie average of 3.4.

goals expected

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.

Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.

How we measure →
Get our AI football prediction and stats for Go Ahead Eagles vs Fortuna Sittard: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.

Go Ahead Eagles vs Fortuna Sittard — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Eredivisie

For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Go Ahead Eagles to win

Our model 55%Bookmakers 59%

Our track record

In 1,795 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.9% of the time (bookmakers said 61.2%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Our model 55%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 5,741 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.7% of the time (bookmakers said 57.9%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Our model 56%Bookmakers 65%

Our track record

In 5,309 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.2%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Our model 65%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 3,993 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.2% of the time (bookmakers said 66.6%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Go Ahead Eagles ahead at half-time

Our model 48%Bookmakers 45%

Our track record

In 4,262 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 48.0% of the time (bookmakers said 47.2%).

Go Ahead Eagles Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Go Ahead Eagles 2+ goals

Our model 53%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 2,785 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.5% of the time (bookmakers said 58.7%).

Fortuna Sittard Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Fortuna Sittard 0–1 goals

Our model 75%Bookmakers 68%

Our track record

In 2,556 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 74.7% of the time (bookmakers said 76.3%).

Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.

Go Ahead Eagles vs Fortuna Sittard — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market

Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Go Ahead Eagles vs Fortuna Sittard. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.

Go Ahead EaglesGo Ahead Eagles–
Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard–

Winner

1 55%

BTTS*

Yes 55%

Correct Score

1-1 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 56%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 55%

Full Time

155%
X25%
220%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT23%77%44%56%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT55%45%78%22%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Go Ahead Eagles19%81%47%53%
Fortuna Sittard44%56%75%25%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Go Ahead Eagles70%30%86%14%
Fortuna Sittard92%8%98%2%

1st Half

148%
X35%
217%

1st Score

163%
X7%
230%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

40%

X-1

19%

X-X

12%

2-2

8%

X-2

6%

1-X

5%

2-1

4%

2-X

4%

1-2

2%

Correct Score

1-1

10.3%

1-0

10.2%

2-1

9.1%

2-0

7.9%

0-0

7.3%

0-1

5.9%

3-1

5.5%

3-0

5.4%

1-2

5.3%

2-2

5.2%

3-2

3.5%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Go Ahead Eagles vs Fortuna Sittard: the stats that stand out

Eredivisie

Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.

How to read it

the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%

Go Ahead Eagles: always on the scoresheet · Fortuna Sittard: fast starters

Always on the scoresheet
Go Ahead Eagles0/10

Go Ahead Eagles scored in all of their last 10 (league 19% fail to score).

Fast starters
Fortuna Sittard7/10

Fortuna Sittard scored first in 7 of their last 10 (league 48%).

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.

How we measure →

Go Ahead Eagles vs Fortuna Sittard: attack vs defence

Eredivisie

Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.

How to read it

other Eredivisie teamsleague averagelast 10 games

↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)

More chances created (xG a game) →

  • Go Ahead EaglesGo Ahead Eagles: weak attack, weak defence (1.61 xG, 1.71 xGA a game)
  • Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard: weak attack, weak defence (1.00 xG, 1.79 xGA)

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.

How we measure →

Go Ahead Eagles vs Fortuna Sittard form and luck check

Eredivisie

Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.

How to read it

what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Eredivisie games

Fortuna Sittard are taking more points than their chances usually bring

  • Go Ahead Eagles
    Go Ahead EaglesBookmakers: 59% to win today.
    +1.1
  • Fortuna Sittard
    Fortuna SittardBookmakers: 19% to win today.Clinical · +5 goals
    +8.6

Last 5 matches

Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard
D
D
W
D
D
7th in table
Go Ahead EaglesGo Ahead Eagles
W
L
W
L
D
8th in table
W
D
L
Last 5 Matches

Strength rank: Go Ahead Eagles 10th of 18 · Fortuna Sittard 15th of 18

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.

We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.

Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.

Strength rank: we rank this season's 18 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.

How we measure →

Go Ahead Eagles vs Fortuna Sittard: Over 2.5 & BTTS?

Eredivisie

How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.

How to read it

a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Eredivisie gamesBTTS = both teams scored

Both teams score in Go Ahead Eagles and Fortuna Sittard games more often than the Eredivisie average (66%).

Over 2.5 goalsleague 63%
Go Ahead Eagles7 of 10
Fortuna Sittard5 of 10
BTTSleague 66%
Go Ahead Eagles9 of 10
Fortuna Sittard7 of 10

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 308 games played here in the last 12 months.

How we measure →

Go Ahead Eagles vs Fortuna Sittard corners, cards and goal times

Eredivisie

Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.

How to read it

league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gamePro
  • Corners won: league 5.2
  • Cards: league 1.6
  • Goals before half-time: league 45%
  • Goals after 75': league 23%

Corners and cards for every league: League stats →

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.

How we measure →

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Go Ahead EaglesGo Ahead Eagles
2/5
Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard
0/5

Both Teams to Score

Go Ahead EaglesGo Ahead Eagles
4/5
Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard
4/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Go Ahead EaglesGo Ahead Eagles
2/5
Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard
2/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Go Ahead EaglesGo Ahead Eagles
2/5
Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard
3/5

First Half Result

Go Ahead EaglesGo Ahead Eagles
1/5
Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard
2/5

Correct Score

Go Ahead EaglesGo Ahead Eagles
1/5
Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard
0/5
correct predictionwrong prediction

Recommended Partners

Live Football Scores