2. Leagues
  3. Eredivisie
  4. Fortuna Sittard vs Go Ahead Eagles

Fortuna Sittard vs Go Ahead Eagles 2-2 Score & Prediction Review

Eredivisie - Season 2025/2026 (Round 1)

Robbed

Fortuna Sittard drew despite more chances

Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard

2–2

Go Ahead EaglesGo Ahead Eagles
2.9Chances (xG)0.7

On these chances Fortuna Sittard would usually take 2.6 points and Go Ahead Eagles 0.3; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: Go Ahead Eagles.

Fortuna Sittard −1.6 pts vs chancesGo Ahead Eagles +0.7 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Fortuna Sittard vs Go Ahead Eagles stats: how the match was played

Eredivisie

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Fortuna Sittard had more than twice the shots on target

Fortuna Sittard

Go Ahead Eagles

8

Shots on target

2

1

Big chances

2

8

Corners

5

2

Yellow cards

1

0

Red cards

1

67%

Possession

33%

The match between Fortuna Sittard and Go Ahead Eagles ended 2-2. Our AI model predicted a Fortuna Sittard win at 43% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 2.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Go Ahead Eagles – Telstar prediction & betting tips (Oct 23, 2026).

Fortuna Sittard vs Go Ahead Eagles — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Eredivisie

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Fortuna Sittard to win

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Go Ahead Eagles to win.

Our model 43%Bookmakers 32%

Our track record

In 1,057 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 30.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 30.2% than to our 40–45%.

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct
Our model 57%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 5,693 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.7% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 54%Bookmakers 55%

Our track record

In 5,151 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.1% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 68%Bookmakers 68%

Our track record

In 3,955 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.4% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct
Our model 41%Bookmakers 41%

Our track record

In 6,649 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).

Fortuna Sittard Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Fortuna Sittard 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 57%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 3,463 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.7% of the time (bookmakers said 61.1%).

Go Ahead Eagles Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Go Ahead Eagles 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 65%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 2,651 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.3% of the time (bookmakers said 63.8%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Fortuna Sittard vs Go Ahead Eagles 2-2 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Fortuna Sittard vs Go Ahead Eagles. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Eredivisie - Netherlands
Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard2
Go Ahead EaglesGo Ahead Eagles2

Winner

1X 68%

BTTS*

Yes 57%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 54%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 58%

Full Time

143%
X26%
232%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT23%77%46%54%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT58%42%82%18%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Fortuna Sittard25%75%57%43%
Go Ahead Eagles32%68%65%35%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Fortuna Sittard80%20%93%7%
Go Ahead Eagles86%14%95%5%

1st Half

130%
X40%
230%

1st Score

147%
X6%
247%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

23%

2-2

19%

X-X

15%

X-1

14%

X-2

11%

1-X

6%

2-X

5%

1-2

3%

2-1

3%

Correct Score

1-1

12.0%

1-0

9.3%

2-1

9.0%

1-2

7.6%

0-1

7.3%

2-0

6.6%

0-0

6.1%

2-2

6.0%

0-2

4.8%

3-1

4.5%

3-0

3.4%

3-2

3.2%

1-3

3.1%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Go Ahead Eagles – Telstar prediction & betting tips (Oct 23, 2026).

Recommended Partners

Live Football Scores