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Sparta Rotterdam vs FC Groningen 2-0 Score & Prediction Review
Eredivisie - Season 2025/2026 (Round 21)
Sparta Rotterdam2–0
FC GroningenOn these chances Sparta Rotterdam would usually take 1.8 points and FC Groningen 0.9; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Sparta Rotterdam.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Sparta Rotterdam vs FC Groningen stats: how the match was played
Eredivisie
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Sparta Rotterdam had more than twice the shots on target
Sparta Rotterdam
FC Groningen
5
Shots on target
2
3
Big chances
0
3
Corners
6
1
Yellow cards
5
46%
Possession
54%
Sparta Rotterdam vs FC Groningen — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Eredivisie
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Sparta Rotterdam to win
CorrectOur track record
In 3,634 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.3% of the time (bookmakers said 47.0%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
WrongOur track record
In 2,482 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.7% of the time (bookmakers said 61.7%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
WrongOur track record
In 3,110 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.4% of the time (bookmakers said 62.6%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 2,412 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.6% of the time (bookmakers said 62.8%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
CorrectOur track record
In 6,715 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.5% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).
Our model’s pick
Sparta Rotterdam 0–1 goals
WrongOur track record
In 2,827 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.5% of the time (bookmakers said 58.7%).
Our model’s pick
FC Groningen 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 1,592 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.8% of the time (bookmakers said 60.9%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Sparta Rotterdam vs FC Groningen 2-0 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Sparta Rotterdam vs FC Groningen. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Sparta Rotterdam2
FC Groningen0Winner
1X 65%
BTTS*
Yes 63%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 62%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 51%
Sparta Rotterdam2FC Groningen0Winner
1X 65%
BTTS*
Yes 63%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 62%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 51%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 18% | 82% | 38% | 62% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 51% | 49% | 76% | 24% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24% | 76% | 53% | 47% |
| 29% | 71% | 59% | 41% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 78% | 22% | 91% | 9% |
| 82% | 18% | 93% | 7% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
25%
2-2
18%
X-X
15%
X-1
14%
X-2
13%
2-X
6%
1-X
5%
2-1
3%
1-2
2%
Correct Score
1-1
10.3%
2-1
8.8%
1-2
7.9%
1-0
7.3%
2-2
6.5%
0-1
6.1%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4.8%
0-2
4.6%
0-0
4.4%
1-3
3.9%
3-2
3.7%
2-3
3.5%
3-0
3.2%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score