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SC Heerenveen vs FC Utrecht 1-1 Score & Prediction Review

Eredivisie - Season 2025/2026 (Round 21)

Fair result
SC HeerenveenSC Heerenveen

1–1

FC UtrechtFC Utrecht
1.6Chances (xG)1.3

On these chances SC Heerenveen would usually take 1.6 points and FC Utrecht 1.2; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: SC Heerenveen.

SC Heerenveen −0.6 pts vs chancesFC Utrecht −0.2 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

SC Heerenveen vs FC Utrecht stats: how the match was played

Eredivisie

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Level on shots on target

SC Heerenveen

FC Utrecht

3

Shots on target

4

2

Big chances

3

5

Corners

6

1

Yellow cards

2

60%

Possession

40%

The match between SC Heerenveen and FC Utrecht ended 1-1. Our AI model predicted a SC Heerenveen win at 41% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: FC Utrecht – PEC Zwolle prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).

SC Heerenveen vs FC Utrecht — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Eredivisie

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

SC Heerenveen to win

Wrong
Our model 41%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 3,596 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.3% of the time (bookmakers said 47.0%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct
Our model 57%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 5,693 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.7% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 54%Bookmakers 51%

Our track record

In 5,152 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.1% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 68%Bookmakers 72%

Our track record

In 3,956 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.4% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).

First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: SC Heerenveen ahead at half-time.

Our model 42%Bookmakers 41%

Our track record

In 2,228 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 37.0% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 37.3% than to our 40–45%.

SC Heerenveen Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

SC Heerenveen 0–1 goals

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: SC Heerenveen 2+ goals.

Our model 58%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 1,018 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 42.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 44.9% than to our 55–60%.

FC Utrecht Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

FC Utrecht 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 64%Bookmakers 74%

Our track record

In 2,651 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.3% of the time (bookmakers said 63.8%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

SC Heerenveen vs FC Utrecht 1-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for SC Heerenveen vs FC Utrecht. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Eredivisie - Netherlands
SC HeerenveenSC Heerenveen1
FC UtrechtFC Utrecht1

Winner

1X 66%

BTTS*

Yes 57%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 54%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 58%

Full Time

141%
X25%
234%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT23%77%46%54%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT58%42%82%18%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
SC Heerenveen26%74%58%42%
FC Utrecht31%69%64%36%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
SC Heerenveen81%19%93%7%
FC Utrecht86%14%96%4%

1st Half

132%
X42%
226%

1st Score

153%
X6%
241%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

26%

2-2

18%

X-1

15%

X-X

13%

X-2

12%

2-X

5%

1-X

4%

1-2

3%

2-1

3%

Correct Score

1-1

11.5%

2-1

8.9%

1-0

8.8%

1-2

8.0%

0-1

7.9%

0-0

6.3%

2-0

6.2%

2-2

5.7%

0-2

5.0%

3-1

4.4%

1-3

3.3%

3-0

3.1%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: FC Utrecht – PEC Zwolle prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).

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