- Home
- Sparta Rotterdam vs SC Heerenveen
Sparta Rotterdam vs SC Heerenveen 0-4 Score & Prediction Review
Eredivisie - Season 2026/2027 (Round 7)
Sparta Rotterdam0–4
SC HeerenveenOn these chances Sparta Rotterdam would usually take 0.5 points and SC Heerenveen 2.3; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Sparta Rotterdam.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Sparta Rotterdam vs SC Heerenveen stats: how the match was played
Eredivisie
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
SC Heerenveen had more than twice the shots on target
Sparta Rotterdam
SC Heerenveen
0
Shots on target
9
1
Big chances
3
3
Corners
6
2
Yellow cards
0
47%
Possession
53%
Sparta Rotterdam vs SC Heerenveen — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Eredivisie
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Sparta Rotterdam to win
WrongOur track record
In 3,628 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.3% of the time (bookmakers said 47.0%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
WrongOur track record
In 5,734 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.9% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 5,354 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Over 3.5 goals.
Our track record
In 130 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 50.0% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 47.4% than to our 65–70%.
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
WrongOur track record
In 2,003 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 40.2% of the time (bookmakers said 41.2%).
Our model’s pick
Sparta Rotterdam 0–1 goals
CorrectThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Sparta Rotterdam 2+ goals.
Our track record
In 1,869 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 42.2% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 43.7% than to our 50–55%.
Our model’s pick
SC Heerenveen 0–1 goals
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: SC Heerenveen 2+ goals.
Our track record
In 361 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.0% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.7% than to our 60–65%.
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Sparta Rotterdam vs SC Heerenveen 0-4 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Sparta Rotterdam vs SC Heerenveen. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Sparta Rotterdam0
SC Heerenveen4Winner
1X 67%
BTTS*
Yes 59%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 58%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 55%
Sparta Rotterdam0SC Heerenveen4Winner
1X 67%
BTTS*
Yes 59%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 58%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 55%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 21% | 79% | 42% | 58% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 55% | 45% | 80% | 20% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24% | 76% | 55% | 45% |
| 31% | 69% | 62% | 38% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 79% | 21% | 92% | 8% |
| 85% | 15% | 95% | 5% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
26%
2-2
18%
X-1
14%
X-X
13%
X-2
11%
1-X
6%
2-X
6%
1-2
3%
2-1
3%
Correct Score
1-1
11.0%
2-1
9.1%
1-0
8.2%
1-2
7.9%
0-1
7.0%
2-2
6.5%
2-0
6.1%
0-0
5.5%
0-2
4.5%
3-1
4.5%
3-0
3.4%
1-3
3.3%
3-2
3.3%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score