1. Feyenoord vs AZ Alkmaar

Feyenoord vs AZ 2-0 Score & Prediction Review

Eredivisie - Season 2026/2027 (Round 8)

Fair result
FeyenoordFeyenoord

2–0

AZAZ
1.8Chances (xG)1.0

On these chances Feyenoord would usually take 1.9 points and AZ 0.9; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Feyenoord.

Feyenoord +1.1 pts vs chancesAZ −0.9 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Feyenoord vs AZ stats: how the match was played

Eredivisie

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Feyenoord had more than twice the shots on target

Feyenoord

AZ

4

Shots on target

2

6

Big chances

1

7

Corners

6

1

Yellow cards

3

43%

Possession

58%

The match between Feyenoord and AZ ended 2-0. Our AI model correctly predicted a Feyenoord win with 54% confidence before kick-off. Our model got 1 out of 4 markets right, correctly predicting Full-Time Result — a reminder that football can be unpredictable, but the data continues to sharpen future predictions.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Feyenoord – Fortuna Sittard prediction & betting tips (Oct 31, 2026).

Feyenoord vs AZ — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Eredivisie

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Feyenoord to win

Correct
Our model 54%Bookmakers 55%

Our track record

In 2,466 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.6% of the time (bookmakers said 55.2%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong
Our model 62%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 2,480 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.7% of the time (bookmakers said 61.7%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 64%Bookmakers 68%

Our track record

In 3,105 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.5% of the time (bookmakers said 62.7%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 59%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 947 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.6% of the time (bookmakers said 59.9%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Feyenoord ahead at half-time

Correct
Our model 45%Bookmakers 43%

Our track record

In 6,632 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.4% of the time (bookmakers said 44.1%).

Feyenoord Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Feyenoord 2+ goals

Correct
Our model 57%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 3,468 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.8% of the time (bookmakers said 61.2%).

AZ Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

AZ 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 68%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 3,290 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.2% of the time (bookmakers said 67.7%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Feyenoord vs AZ 2-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Feyenoord vs AZ. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
FeyenoordFeyenoord2
AZAZ0

Winner

1 54%

BTTS*

Yes 62%

Correct Score

2-1 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 63%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

over 51%

Full Time

154%
X21%
225%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT16%84%37%63%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT49%51%74%26%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Feyenoord17%83%43%57%
AZ37%63%68%32%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Feyenoord69%31%86%14%
AZ88%12%96%4%

1st Half

145%
X34%
221%

1st Score

161%
X4%
236%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

36%

X-1

17%

2-2

13%

X-X

11%

X-2

7%

1-X

5%

2-X

5%

2-1

4%

1-2

2%

Correct Score

2-1

10.2%

1-1

9.5%

1-0

7.8%

2-0

7.4%

2-2

6.4%

1-2

6.1%

3-1

6.1%

0-1

4.9%

3-0

4.9%

3-2

4.5%

0-0

3.7%

0-2

3.2%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Feyenoord vs AZ — Recent Form

Feyenoord have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 1st in the table. AZ have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 5th in the table.

Last 5 matches

FeyenoordFeyenoord
D
W
W
W
W
AZAZ
L
D
L
W
D

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

AZAZ
2/5
FeyenoordFeyenoord
4/5

Both Teams to Score

AZAZ
2/5
FeyenoordFeyenoord
2/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

AZAZ
1/5
FeyenoordFeyenoord
3/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

AZAZ
4/5
FeyenoordFeyenoord
1/5

First Half Result

AZAZ
4/5
FeyenoordFeyenoord
5/5

Correct Score

AZAZ
1/5
FeyenoordFeyenoord
0/5
W
D
L
Last 5 Matches
correct predictionwrong prediction
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Feyenoord – Fortuna Sittard prediction & betting tips (Oct 31, 2026).

Recommended Partners

Live Football Scores