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Telstar vs ADO Den Haag 2-2 Score & Prediction Review
Eredivisie - Season 2026/2027 (Round 8)
Telstar drew despite more chances
Telstar2–2
ADO Den HaagOn these chances Telstar would usually take 2.6 points and ADO Den Haag 0.3; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: Telstar.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Telstar vs ADO Den Haag stats: how the match was played
Eredivisie
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Telstar had more than twice the shots on target
Telstar
ADO Den Haag
4
Shots on target
2
4
Big chances
3
8
Corners
0
2
Yellow cards
1
0
Red cards
1
68%
Possession
32%
Telstar vs ADO Den Haag — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Eredivisie
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Telstar to win
WrongOur track record
In 3,634 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.3% of the time (bookmakers said 47.0%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
CorrectOur track record
In 5,745 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.9% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 5,362 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
WrongOur track record
In 3,994 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.3% of the time (bookmakers said 66.7%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
CorrectOur track record
In 2,008 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 40.3% of the time (bookmakers said 41.2%).
Our model’s pick
Telstar 0–1 goals
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Telstar 2+ goals.
Our track record
In 1,030 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 42.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 44.9% than to our 55–60%.
Our model’s pick
ADO Den Haag 0–1 goals
WrongOur track record
In 2,678 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.4% of the time (bookmakers said 63.7%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Telstar vs ADO Den Haag 2-2 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Telstar vs ADO Den Haag. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Telstar2
ADO Den Haag2Winner
1X 66%
BTTS*
Yes 59%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 57%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 56%
Telstar2ADO Den Haag2Winner
1X 66%
BTTS*
Yes 59%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 57%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 56%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 21% | 79% | 43% | 57% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 56% | 44% | 80% | 20% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26% | 74% | 57% | 43% |
| 30% | 70% | 61% | 39% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 81% | 19% | 93% | 7% |
| 84% | 16% | 94% | 6% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
23%
2-2
22%
X-1
12%
X-X
12%
X-2
12%
2-X
6%
1-X
5%
1-2
4%
2-1
3%
Correct Score
1-1
11.4%
2-1
8.7%
1-0
8.3%
1-2
7.9%
0-1
7.0%
2-0
6.2%
2-2
6.1%
0-0
5.6%
0-2
4.9%
3-1
4.3%
1-3
3.6%
3-2
3.3%
3-0
3.3%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Telstar vs ADO Den Haag — Recent Form
ADO Den Haag have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 17th in the table. Telstar have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 16th in the table.
Last 5 matches
ADO Den HaagTelstarOur prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
ADO Den HaagTelstarBoth Teams to Score
ADO Den HaagTelstarOver/Under 2.5 Goals
ADO Den HaagTelstarOver/Under 3.5 Goals
ADO Den HaagTelstarFirst Half Result
ADO Den HaagTelstarCorrect Score
ADO Den HaagTelstar