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PEC Zwolle vs SC Cambuur 0-1 Score & Prediction Review
Eredivisie - Season 2026/2027 (Round 8)
PEC Zwolle0–1
SC CambuurOn these chances PEC Zwolle would usually take 1.6 points and SC Cambuur 1.2; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: PEC Zwolle.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →PEC Zwolle vs SC Cambuur stats: how the match was played
Eredivisie
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
PEC Zwolle had clearly more shots on target
PEC Zwolle
SC Cambuur
6
Shots on target
4
3
Big chances
3
5
Corners
5
3
Yellow cards
3
45%
Possession
55%
PEC Zwolle vs SC Cambuur — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Eredivisie
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
SC Cambuur to win
CorrectThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: PEC Zwolle to win.
Our track record
In 113 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 27.4% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 30.7% than to our 50–55%.
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
WrongOur track record
In 6,453 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.2% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
WrongOur track record
In 5,298 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.3% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,952 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.5% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).
Our model’s pick
SC Cambuur ahead at half-time
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: PEC Zwolle ahead at half-time.
Our track record
In 2,224 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 37.1% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 37.3% than to our 40–45%.
Our model’s pick
PEC Zwolle 0–1 goals
CorrectThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: PEC Zwolle 2+ goals.
Our track record
Too few similar matches in the last 12 months for a track record.
Our model’s pick
SC Cambuur 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 1,009 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 60.3% of the time (bookmakers said 59.2%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
PEC Zwolle vs SC Cambuur 0-1 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for PEC Zwolle vs SC Cambuur. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
PEC Zwolle0
SC Cambuur1Winner
2 50%
BTTS*
Yes 54%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 57%
PEC Zwolle0SC Cambuur1Winner
2 50%
BTTS*
Yes 54%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 57%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 23% | 77% | 45% | 55% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 57% | 43% | 80% | 20% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39% | 61% | 71% | 29% |
| 23% | 77% | 51% | 49% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 89% | 11% | 97% | 3% |
| 74% | 26% | 88% | 12% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
40%
X-2
17%
1-1
12%
X-X
11%
X-1
7%
2-X
5%
1-X
4%
1-2
4%
2-1
1%
Correct Score
1-1
10.2%
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.0%
0-2
7.5%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
6.2%
0-0
6.0%
1-3
5.4%
2-2
5.2%
0-3
4.7%
2-0
4.6%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
PEC Zwolle vs SC Cambuur — Recent Form
SC Cambuur have won 2, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 14th in the table. PEC Zwolle have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 15th in the table.
Last 5 matches
SC CambuurPEC ZwolleOur prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
PEC ZwolleSC CambuurBoth Teams to Score
PEC ZwolleSC CambuurOver/Under 2.5 Goals
PEC ZwolleSC CambuurOver/Under 3.5 Goals
PEC ZwolleSC CambuurFirst Half Result
PEC ZwolleSC CambuurCorrect Score
PEC ZwolleSC Cambuur