CSKA Sofia vs Monaco Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Europa Conference League - Season 2026/2027 League Stage (Group Stage) (Round 1)
CSKA Sofia vs Monaco — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Europa Conference League
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Monaco to win
Our track record
In 3,141 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.4% of the time (bookmakers said 50.4%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our track record
In 6,059 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.2% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our track record
In 4,893 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 56.5%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our track record
In 3,658 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.7% of the time (bookmakers said 67.0%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our track record
In 2,084 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 37.1% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 37.4% than to our 40–45%.
Our model’s pick
CSKA Sofia 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 2,447 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.6% of the time (bookmakers said 67.8%).
Our model’s pick
Monaco 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 735 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 42.4% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 42.5% than to our 50–55%.
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
CSKA Sofia vs Monaco — AI Betting Odds & Market Probabilities
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for CSKA Sofia vs Monaco. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
CSKA Sofia–
Monaco–Winner
X2 71%
BTTS**
Yes 53%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 58%
CSKA Sofia–Monaco–Winner
X2 71%
BTTS**
Yes 53%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 58%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 23% | 77% | 46% | 54% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 58% | 42% | 80% | 20% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 37% | 63% | 67% | 33% |
 | 25% | 75% | 55% | 45% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 86% | 14% | 94% | 6% |
| 79% | 21% | 92% | 8% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
24%
2-2
22%
X-X
15%
X-1
14%
X-2
12%
1-X
4%
2-X
4%
2-1
3%
1-2
2%
Correct Score
1-1
10.5%
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8.6%
0-2
8.0%
2-1
6.6%
0-0
6.6%
1-0
6.4%
2-2
5.2%
0-3
4.7%
1-3
4.6%
2-0
3.9%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
CSKA Sofia vs Monaco — Recent Form
Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
MonacoBoth Teams to Score
MonacoOver/Under 2.5 Goals
MonacoOver/Under 3.5 Goals
MonacoFirst Half Result
MonacoCorrect Score
Monaco