Hajduk Split vs Ajax Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Europa Conference League - Season 2026/2027 League Stage (Group Stage) (Round 1)
Hajduk Split vs Ajax — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Europa Conference League
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Ajax to win
Our track record
In 3,280 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 46.9% of the time (bookmakers said 47.0%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our track record
In 5,136 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.6% of the time (bookmakers said 57.6%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our track record
In 4,893 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 56.5%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our track record
In 3,658 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.7% of the time (bookmakers said 67.0%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our track record
In 1,010 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 35.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 35.2% than to our 35–40%.
Our model’s pick
Hajduk Split 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 3,160 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 64.9% of the time (bookmakers said 64.2%).
Our model’s pick
Ajax 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 540 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.3% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 44.6% than to our 55–60%.
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Hajduk Split vs Ajax — AI Betting Odds & Market Probabilities
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Hajduk Split vs Ajax. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Hajduk Split–
Ajax–Winner
X2 68%
BTTS**
Yes 56%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 57%
Hajduk Split–Ajax–Winner
X2 68%
BTTS**
Yes 56%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 57%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 22% | 78% | 45% | 55% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 57% | 43% | 81% | 19% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 33% | 67% | 65% | 35% |
 | 25% | 75% | 56% | 44% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 85% | 15% | 94% | 6% |
| 80% | 20% | 92% | 8% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
23%
2-2
22%
X-1
15%
X-X
13%
X-2
11%
1-X
6%
2-X
5%
1-2
3%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
1-1
11.3%
0-1
9.0%
1-2
8.7%
2-1
7.4%
1-0
7.2%
0-2
7.0%
0-0
6.2%
2-2
5.7%
1-3
4.5%
2-0
4.4%
0-3
3.8%
3-1
3.2%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Hajduk Split vs Ajax — Recent Form
Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
AjaxHajduk SplitBoth Teams to Score
AjaxHajduk SplitOver/Under 2.5 Goals
AjaxHajduk SplitOver/Under 3.5 Goals
AjaxHajduk SplitFirst Half Result
AjaxHajduk SplitCorrect Score
AjaxHajduk Split