AZ Alkmaar vs Hapoel Be'er Sheva Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Europa League - Season 2026/2027 League Stage (Group Stage) (Round 2)
AZ vs Hapoel Be'er Sheva — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Europa League
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
AZ to win
Our track record
In 2,419 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.5% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).
Our model’s pick
No, not both
Our track record
In 3,040 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our track record
In 5,011 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.9% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our track record
In 4,429 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.3% of the time (bookmakers said 71.7%).
Our model’s pick
AZ ahead at half-time
Our track record
In 1,967 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 40.4% of the time (bookmakers said 41.2%).
Our model’s pick
AZ 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 1,799 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 41.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 43.8% than to our 50–55%.
Our model’s pick
Hapoel Be'er Sheva 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 2,529 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 75.3% of the time (bookmakers said 76.5%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
AZ vs Hapoel Be'er Sheva — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for AZ vs Hapoel Be'er Sheva. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
AZ–
Hapoel Be'er Sheva–Winner
1 55%
BTTS*
No 51%
Correct Score
1-0 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 61%
AZ–Hapoel Be'er Sheva–Winner
1 55%
BTTS*
No 51%
Correct Score
1-0 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 61%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 26% | 74% | 49% | 51% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 61% | 39% | 82% | 18% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 21% | 79% | 51% | 49% |
 | 46% | 54% | 75% | 25% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 76% | 24% | 90% | 10% |
| 91% | 9% | 97% | 3% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
32%
X-1
17%
2-2
15%
X-X
12%
X-2
9%
1-X
5%
2-1
4%
2-X
4%
1-2
2%
Correct Score
1-0
12.5%
2-0
10.3%
1-1
9.7%
2-1
9.2%
0-0
7.4%
0-1
6.2%
3-0
5.7%
1-2
5.1%
3-1
4.8%
2-2
4.3%
0-2
3.2%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
AZHapoel Be'er ShevaBoth Teams to Score
AZHapoel Be'er ShevaOver/Under 2.5 Goals
AZHapoel Be'er ShevaOver/Under 3.5 Goals
AZHapoel Be'er ShevaFirst Half Result
AZHapoel Be'er ShevaCorrect Score
AZHapoel Be'er Sheva