Union Saint-Gilloise vs Real Sociedad Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Europa League - Season 2026/2027 League Stage (Group Stage) (Round 2)
Union Saint-Gilloise vs Real Sociedad — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Europa League
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Union Saint-Gilloise to win
Our track record
In 2,419 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.5% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our track record
In 6,315 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our track record
In 5,139 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.7% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our track record
In 3,819 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.2% of the time (bookmakers said 66.9%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our track record
In 6,503 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.8% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).
Our model’s pick
Union Saint-Gilloise 2+ goals
Our track record
In 1,799 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 41.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 43.8% than to our 50–55%.
Our model’s pick
Real Sociedad 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 3,261 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.7% of the time (bookmakers said 72.2%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Union Saint-Gilloise vs Real Sociedad — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Union Saint-Gilloise vs Real Sociedad. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Union Saint-Gilloise–
Real Sociedad–Winner
1 53%
BTTS*
Yes 54%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 57%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 56%
Union Saint-Gilloise–Real Sociedad–Winner
1 53%
BTTS*
Yes 54%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 57%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 56%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 21% | 79% | 43% | 57% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 56% | 44% | 79% | 21% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 19% | 81% | 47% | 53% |
 | 41% | 59% | 72% | 28% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 73% | 27% | 88% | 12% |
| 90% | 10% | 97% | 3% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
36%
X-1
21%
X-X
12%
2-2
10%
X-2
6%
2-X
6%
1-X
4%
2-1
3%
1-2
2%
Correct Score
1-1
10.8%
2-1
9.7%
1-0
9.3%
2-0
8.5%
1-2
6.1%
0-0
5.8%
3-0
5.7%
0-1
5.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-1
5.2%
3-2
3.0%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Real SociedadUnion Saint-GilloiseBoth Teams to Score
Real SociedadUnion Saint-GilloiseOver/Under 2.5 Goals
Real SociedadUnion Saint-GilloiseOver/Under 3.5 Goals
Real SociedadUnion Saint-GilloiseFirst Half Result
Real SociedadUnion Saint-GilloiseCorrect Score
Real SociedadUnion Saint-Gilloise