Salzburg vs AC Milan Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Europa League - Season 2026/2027 League Stage (Group Stage) (Round 2)
Salzburg scored first in 5 of their last 7 (league 47%).
Salzburg vs Milan — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Europa League
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Salzburg to win
Our track record
In 1,487 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 28.6% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 29.5% than to our 35–40%.
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our track record
In 5,542 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.9% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our track record
In 5,055 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.0% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our track record
In 3,856 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.3% of the time (bookmakers said 66.9%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our track record
In 2,149 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.8% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 37.3% than to our 40–45%.
Our model’s pick
Salzburg 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 3,373 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.6% of the time (bookmakers said 61.1%).
Our model’s pick
Milan 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 322 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 45.3% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.9% than to our 60–65%.
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Salzburg vs Milan — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Salzburg vs Milan. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Salzburg–
Milan–Winner
12 75%
BTTS*
Yes 56%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 58%
Salzburg–Milan–Winner
12 75%
BTTS*
Yes 56%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 58%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 23% | 77% | 46% | 54% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 58% | 42% | 81% | 19% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 28% | 72% | 60% | 41% |
 | 29% | 71% | 61% | 39% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 82% | 18% | 94% | 6% |
| 84% | 16% | 94% | 6% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
26%
2-2
20%
X-1
15%
X-X
15%
X-2
11%
2-X
5%
1-X
4%
1-2
2%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
1-1
11.2%
0-1
8.6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.3%
1-2
7.9%
0-0
6.1%
2-0
6.0%
0-2
5.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-1
4.0%
1-3
3.7%
3-2
3.1%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Salzburg vs Milan: the stats that stand out
Europa League
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Salzburg: fast starters
5/7
Fast startersSalzburg scored first in 5 of their last 7 (league 47%).
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Salzburg vs Milan: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
Europa League
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averageup to 10 recent games in the Europa LeagueBTTS = both teams scoredBoth teams score in Salzburg games more often than the Europa League average (49%).
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 171 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Salzburg vs Milan corners, cards and goal times
Europa League
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gameSalzburg: last 7 with these statsSalzburg score early
Salzburg
Milan
3.7
Corners won · league 4.6
–
4.7
Corners conceded · league 4.6
–
1.6
Cards · league 2.1
–
1.6
Opponents' cards · league 2.1
–
64%
Goals before half-time · league 50%
–
9%
Goals after 75' · league 19%
–
8%
Conceded before half-time · league 50%
–
25%
Conceded after 75' · league 19%
–
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
SalzburgMilanBoth Teams to Score
SalzburgMilanOver/Under 2.5 Goals
SalzburgMilanOver/Under 3.5 Goals
SalzburgMilanFirst Half Result
SalzburgMilanCorrect Score
SalzburgMilan