Olympique Marseille vs Olympiacos F.C. Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Europa League - Season 2026/2027 League Stage (Group Stage) (Round 2)

Get our AI football prediction and stats for Olympique Marseille vs Olympiakos Piraeus: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.

Olympique Marseille vs Olympiakos Piraeus — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Europa League

For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Olympiakos Piraeus to win

Our model 43%Bookmakers 31%

Our track record

In 1,010 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 30.3% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 30.2% than to our 40–45%.

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Our model 59%Bookmakers 60%

Our track record

In 5,494 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.9% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Our model 60%Bookmakers 57%

Our track record

In 3,006 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.5% of the time (bookmakers said 62.5%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Our model 61%Bookmakers 64%

Our track record

In 2,285 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.3% of the time (bookmakers said 62.9%).

First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Olympiakos Piraeus ahead at half-time

Our model 40%Bookmakers 26%

Our track record

In 2,133 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.7% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 37.4% than to our 40–45%.

Olympique Marseille Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Olympique Marseille 0–1 goals

Our model 61%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 352 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 42.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.8% than to our 60–65%.

Olympiakos Piraeus Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Olympiakos Piraeus 0–1 goals

Our model 54%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 959 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.7% of the time (bookmakers said 59.2%).

Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.

Olympique Marseille vs Olympiakos Piraeus — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market

Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Olympique Marseille vs Olympiakos Piraeus. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.

Olympique MarseilleOlympique Marseille–
Olympiakos PiraeusOlympiakos Piraeus–

Winner

X2 65%

BTTS*

Yes 59%

Correct Score

1-1 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 60%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 51%

Full Time

135%
X22%
243%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT19%81%40%60%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT51%49%76%24%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Olympique Marseille31%69%61%40%
Olympiakos Piraeus25%75%54%46%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Olympique Marseille82%18%93%7%
Olympiakos Piraeus78%22%91%9%

1st Half

121%
X39%
240%

1st Score

139%
X5%
256%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

31%

1-1

16%

X-X

14%

X-2

14%

X-1

11%

2-X

5%

1-X

4%

1-2

3%

2-1

2%

Correct Score

1-1

9.8%

1-2

8.3%

0-1

7.3%

2-1

7.1%

1-0

6.7%

0-2

6.5%

2-2

5.9%

1-3

5.1%

0-0

4.8%

2-0

4.7%

3-1

4.3%

2-3

3.5%

3-2

3.3%

0-3

3.2%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Olympique MarseilleOlympique Marseille
1/1
Olympiakos PiraeusOlympiakos Piraeus
1/1

Both Teams to Score

Olympique MarseilleOlympique Marseille
1/1
Olympiakos PiraeusOlympiakos Piraeus
1/1

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Olympique MarseilleOlympique Marseille
1/1
Olympiakos PiraeusOlympiakos Piraeus
1/1

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Olympique MarseilleOlympique Marseille
0/1
Olympiakos PiraeusOlympiakos Piraeus
1/1

First Half Result

Olympique MarseilleOlympique Marseille
0/1
Olympiakos PiraeusOlympiakos Piraeus
0/1

Correct Score

Olympique MarseilleOlympique Marseille
0/1
Olympiakos PiraeusOlympiakos Piraeus
0/1
correct predictionwrong prediction

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