Olympique Marseille vs Olympiacos F.C. Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Europa League - Season 2026/2027 League Stage (Group Stage) (Round 2)
Olympique Marseille vs Olympiakos Piraeus — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Europa League
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Olympiakos Piraeus to win
Our track record
In 1,010 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 30.3% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 30.2% than to our 40–45%.
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our track record
In 5,494 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.9% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our track record
In 3,006 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.5% of the time (bookmakers said 62.5%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our track record
In 2,285 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.3% of the time (bookmakers said 62.9%).
Our model’s pick
Olympiakos Piraeus ahead at half-time
Our track record
In 2,133 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.7% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 37.4% than to our 40–45%.
Our model’s pick
Olympique Marseille 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 352 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 42.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.8% than to our 60–65%.
Our model’s pick
Olympiakos Piraeus 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 959 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.7% of the time (bookmakers said 59.2%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Olympique Marseille vs Olympiakos Piraeus — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Olympique Marseille vs Olympiakos Piraeus. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Winner
X2 65%
BTTS*
Yes 59%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 60%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 51%
Winner
X2 65%
BTTS*
Yes 59%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 60%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 51%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 19% | 81% | 40% | 60% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 51% | 49% | 76% | 24% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31% | 69% | 61% | 40% | |
| 25% | 75% | 54% | 46% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 82% | 18% | 93% | 7% | |
| 78% | 22% | 91% | 9% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
31%
1-1
16%
X-X
14%
X-2
14%
X-1
11%
2-X
5%
1-X
4%
1-2
3%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
1-1
9.8%
1-2
8.3%
0-1
7.3%
2-1
7.1%
1-0
6.7%
0-2
6.5%
2-2
5.9%
1-3
5.1%
0-0
4.8%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
4.3%
2-3
3.5%
3-2
3.3%
0-3
3.2%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Both Teams to Score
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result
Correct Score