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AFC Bournemouth vs Sturm Graz

AFC Bournemouth vs Sturm Graz Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Europa League - Season 2026/2027 League Stage (Group Stage) (Round 2)

Shot-shy

Sturm Graz failed to score in 4 of their last 7 (league 28%).

4/7Failed to score · Sturm Graz

Get our AI football prediction and stats for AFC Bournemouth vs Sturm Graz: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.

AFC Bournemouth vs Sturm Graz — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Europa League

For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

AFC Bournemouth to win

Our model 49%Bookmakers 81%

Our track record

In 3,369 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.3% of the time (bookmakers said 50.4%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Our model 52%Bookmakers 52%

Our track record

In 6,318 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Our model 50%Bookmakers 31%

Our track record

In 2,767 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.0% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.2% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Our model 72%Bookmakers 53%

Our track record

In 4,429 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.3% of the time (bookmakers said 71.7%).

First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Our model 38%Bookmakers 30%

Our track record

In 1,152 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.0% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 35.2% than to our 35–40%.

AFC Bournemouth Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

AFC Bournemouth 0–1 goals

Our model 56%Bookmakers 23%

Our track record

In 972 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 43.6% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.2% than to our 55–60%.

Sturm Graz Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Sturm Graz 0–1 goals

Our model 72%Bookmakers 85%

Our track record

In 3,261 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.7% of the time (bookmakers said 72.2%).

Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.

AFC Bournemouth vs Sturm Graz — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market

Below are our AI-generated match predictions for AFC Bournemouth vs Sturm Graz. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.

Europa League - Europe

AFC Bournemouth–

Sturm Graz–

Winner

1X 73%

BTTS*

No 52%

Correct Score

1-0 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 50%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 62%

Europa League - Europe

AFC Bournemouth–

Sturm Graz–

Winner

1X 73%

BTTS*

No 52%

Correct Score

1-0 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 50%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 62%

Full Time

149%

X25%

227%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	28%	72%	50%	50%	62%	38%	83%	17%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	28%	72%	50%	50%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	62%	38%	83%	17%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	25%	75%	56%	44%	79%	21%	92%	8%
	42%	58%	72%	28%	88%	12%	96%	4%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	25%	75%	56%	44%
	42%	58%	72%	28%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	79%	21%	92%	8%
	88%	12%	96%	4%

1st Half

134%

X38%

228%

1st Score

147%

X8%

244%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

26%

2-2

21%

X-1

14%

X-X

13%

X-2

12%

2-X

1-X

1-2

2-1

Correct Score

1-0

12.1%

1-1

10.2%

2-0

8.8%

0-0

8.5%

2-1

8.4%

0-1

7.2%

1-2

5.9%

3-0

4.9%

2-2

4.5%

3-1

4.2%

0-2

3.5%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

AFC Bournemouth vs Sturm Graz: the stats that stand out

Europa League

Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.

How to read it

the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%

Sturm Graz: shot-shy and slow starters

4/7

Shot-shy

Sturm Graz failed to score in 4 of their last 7 (league 28%).

2/7

Slow starters

Sturm Graz scored first in only 2 of their last 7 (league 47%).

How it works

We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.

How we measure →

AFC Bournemouth vs Sturm Graz: Over 2.5 & BTTS?

Europa League

How to read it

a game where it happenedleague averageup to 10 recent games in the Europa LeagueBTTS = both teams scored

Both teams score in Sturm Graz games less often than the Europa League average (49%).

Over 2.5 goalsleague 54%

Sturm Graz3 of 7

BTTSleague 49%

Sturm Graz2 of 7

How it works

For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 171 games played here in the last 12 months.

How we measure →

AFC Bournemouth vs Sturm Graz corners, cards and goal times

Europa League

How to read it

league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gameSturm Graz: last 7 with these statsPro · free for now

Goal times close to the Europa League average

AFC Bournemouth

Sturm Graz

–

Corners won · league 4.6

3.0

–

Corners conceded · league 4.6

5.4

–

Cards · league 2.1

2.1

–

Opponents' cards · league 2.1

1.7

–

Goals before half-time · league 50%

67%

–

Goals after 75' · league 19%

33%

–

Conceded before half-time · league 50%

25%

–

Conceded after 75' · league 19%

13%

How it works

We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.

How we measure →

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Sturm Graz

0/1

AFC Bournemouth

0/1

Both Teams to Score

Sturm Graz

0/1

AFC Bournemouth

1/1

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Sturm Graz

0/1

AFC Bournemouth

0/1

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Sturm Graz

1/1

AFC Bournemouth

1/1

First Half Result

Sturm Graz

1/1

AFC Bournemouth

0/1

Correct Score

Sturm Graz

0/1

AFC Bournemouth

0/1

correct predictionwrong prediction