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Jagiellonia Białystok vs Ararat-Armenia

Jagiellonia Białystok vs Ararat-Armenia Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Europa League - Season 2026/2027 League Stage (Group Stage) (Round 2)

Get our AI football prediction and stats for Jagiellonia Białystok vs Ararat-Armenia: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.

Jagiellonia Białystok vs Ararat-Armenia — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Europa League

For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Jagiellonia Białystok to win

Our model 48%Bookmakers 68%

Our track record

In 3,366 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.3% of the time (bookmakers said 50.4%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Our model 53%Bookmakers 52%

Our track record

In 6,315 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Our model 56%Bookmakers 59%

Our track record

In 5,139 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.7% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Our model 67%Bookmakers 64%

Our track record

In 3,819 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.2% of the time (bookmakers said 66.9%).

First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Our model 38%Bookmakers 37%

Our track record

In 1,152 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.0% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 35.2% than to our 35–40%.

Jagiellonia Białystok Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Jagiellonia Białystok 0–1 goals

Our model 52%Bookmakers 34%

Our track record

In 1,799 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 41.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 43.8% than to our 50–55%.

Ararat-Armenia Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Ararat-Armenia 0–1 goals

Our model 69%Bookmakers 80%

Our track record

In 3,162 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.1% of the time (bookmakers said 67.8%).

Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.

Jagiellonia Białystok vs Ararat-Armenia — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market

Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Jagiellonia Białystok vs Ararat-Armenia. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.

Europa League - Europe

Jagiellonia Białystok–

Ararat-Armenia–

Winner

1X 71%

BTTS*

Yes 53%

Correct Score

1-1 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 56%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 57%

Europa League - Europe

Jagiellonia Białystok–

Ararat-Armenia–

Winner

1X 71%

BTTS*

Yes 53%

Correct Score

1-1 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 56%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 57%

Full Time

148%

X23%

229%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	22%	78%	44%	56%	57%	43%	79%	21%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	22%	78%	44%	56%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	57%	43%	79%	21%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	23%	77%	52%	48%	77%	23%	90%	10%
	38%	62%	69%	31%	86%	14%	95%	5%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	23%	77%	52%	48%
	38%	62%	69%	31%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	77%	23%	90%	10%
	86%	14%	95%	5%

1st Half

135%

X38%

227%

1st Score

150%

X7%

243%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

28%

2-2

20%

X-X

15%

X-1

12%

X-2

11%

1-X

2-X

2-1

1-2

Correct Score

1-1

10.2%

1-0

9.4%

2-1

8.9%

2-0

8.1%

0-0

6.5%

1-2

6.4%

0-1

6.4%

2-2

5.0%

3-0

4.9%

3-1

4.7%

0-2

3.7%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Jagiellonia Białystok

3/5

Ararat-Armenia

2/3

Both Teams to Score

Jagiellonia Białystok

4/5

Ararat-Armenia

1/3

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Jagiellonia Białystok

3/5

Ararat-Armenia

1/3

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Jagiellonia Białystok

4/5

Ararat-Armenia

2/3

First Half Result

Jagiellonia Białystok

2/5

Ararat-Armenia

2/3

Correct Score

Jagiellonia Białystok

1/5

Ararat-Armenia

0/3

correct predictionwrong prediction