Ferencvárosi vs Viktoria Plzeň Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Europa League - Season 2026/2027 League Stage (Group Stage) (Round 2)
Viktoria Plzeň conceded first in only 1 of 8 recent matches with goal times (league 47%).
Ferencváros vs Viktoria Plzeň score prediction
Europa League
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Ferencváros expected to create clearly more
2.6 goals in total, a little under the Europa League average of 2.8.
goals expected
Ferencváros1.5
Viktoria Plzeň1.0How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
How we measure →Ferencváros vs Viktoria Plzeň — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Europa League
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Ferencváros to win
Our track record
In 3,369 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.3% of the time (bookmakers said 50.4%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our track record
In 6,318 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our track record
In 5,011 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.9% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our track record
In 4,429 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.3% of the time (bookmakers said 71.7%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our track record
In 1,967 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 40.4% of the time (bookmakers said 41.2%).
Our model’s pick
Ferencváros 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 1,800 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 41.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 43.8% than to our 50–55%.
Our model’s pick
Viktoria Plzeň 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 3,261 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.7% of the time (bookmakers said 72.2%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Ferencváros vs Viktoria Plzeň — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Ferencváros vs Viktoria Plzeň. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Ferencváros–
Viktoria Plzeň–Winner
1X 73%
BTTS*
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 61%
Ferencváros–Viktoria Plzeň–Winner
1X 73%
BTTS*
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 61%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 26% | 74% | 49% | 51% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 61% | 39% | 83% | 17% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23% | 77% | 54% | 46% |
| 39% | 61% | 72% | 28% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 78% | 22% | 92% | 8% |
| 90% | 10% | 97% | 3% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
30%
2-2
17%
X-1
16%
X-X
13%
X-2
10%
2-X
5%
1-X
4%
2-1
4%
1-2
2%
Correct Score
1-1
11.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.4%
2-0
8.2%
0-1
7.6%
0-0
7.2%
1-2
6.3%
3-1
5.0%
2-2
4.9%
3-0
4.5%
0-2
4.0%
3-2
3.1%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Ferencváros vs Viktoria Plzeň: the stats that stand out
Europa League
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Viktoria Plzeň: hard to break, brick wall and shot-shy
1/8
Hard to breakViktoria Plzeň conceded first in only 1 of 8 recent matches with goal times (league 47%).
4/9
Brick wallViktoria Plzeň kept 4 clean sheets in their last 9 (league 28%).
4/9
Shot-shyViktoria Plzeň failed to score in 4 of their last 9 (league 28%).
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Ferencváros vs Viktoria Plzeň: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
Europa League
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averageup to 10 recent games in the Europa LeagueBTTS = both teams scoredViktoria Plzeň games go over 2.5 goals less often than the Europa League average (54%), Ferencváros games more often.
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 171 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Ferencváros vs Viktoria Plzeň form and luck check
Europa League
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringnormal range (±4 points)outside the normal range← fewer points · more points →Ferencváros: results in line with their chances
FerencvárosFerencváros: results in line with their chances.
Bookmakers: 50% to win today.
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
How we measure →Ferencváros vs Viktoria Plzeň corners, cards and goal times
Europa League
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per gameViktoria Plzeň: last 8 with these statsViktoria Plzeň score early
Ferencváros
Viktoria Plzeň
3.8
Corners won · league 4.6
4.6
6.3
Corners conceded · league 4.6
5.3
2.3
Cards · league 2.1
3.0
2.7
Opponents' cards · league 2.1
2.9
53%
Goals before half-time · league 50%
83%
7%
Goals after 75' · league 19%
17%
53%
Conceded before half-time · league 50%
43%
20%
Conceded after 75' · league 19%
14%
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
FerencvárosViktoria PlzeňBoth Teams to Score
FerencvárosViktoria PlzeňOver/Under 2.5 Goals
FerencvárosViktoria PlzeňOver/Under 3.5 Goals
FerencvárosViktoria PlzeňFirst Half Result
FerencvárosViktoria PlzeňCorrect Score
FerencvárosViktoria Plzeň