NEC Nijmegen vs Levski Sofia Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Europa League - Season 2026/2027 League Stage (Group Stage) (Round 2)
NEC vs Levski Sofia — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Europa League
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
NEC to win
Our track record
In 3,483 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 46.7% of the time (bookmakers said 46.9%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our track record
In 6,318 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our track record
In 5,011 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.9% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our track record
In 3,819 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.2% of the time (bookmakers said 66.9%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our track record
In 6,503 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.8% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).
Our model’s pick
NEC 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 972 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 43.6% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.2% than to our 55–60%.
Our model’s pick
Levski Sofia 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 3,162 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.1% of the time (bookmakers said 67.8%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
NEC vs Levski Sofia — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for NEC vs Levski Sofia. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
NEC–
Levski Sofia–Winner
1X 68%
BTTS*
Yes 54%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 59%
NEC–Levski Sofia–Winner
1X 68%
BTTS*
Yes 54%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 59%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 25% | 76% | 48% | 52% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 59% | 41% | 81% | 19% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 27% | 73% | 57% | 43% |
 | 34% | 66% | 66% | 34% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 80% | 20% | 93% | 7% |
| 86% | 14% | 95% | 5% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
25%
2-2
21%
X-1
14%
X-X
14%
X-2
11%
1-X
5%
2-X
5%
2-1
3%
1-2
2%
Correct Score
1-1
11.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.3%
0-1
8.1%
2-0
6.9%
0-0
6.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-2
5.2%
0-2
5.0%
3-1
4.3%
3-0
3.5%
3-2
3.3%
1-3
3.2%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
NECLevski SofiaBoth Teams to Score
NECLevski SofiaOver/Under 2.5 Goals
NECLevski SofiaOver/Under 3.5 Goals
NECLevski SofiaFirst Half Result
NECLevski SofiaCorrect Score
NECLevski Sofia