Leiston vs Coventry United Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
FA Cup - Season 2026/2027 3rd Round Qualifying (Qualifying)
Leiston vs Coventry United — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · FA Cup
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Coventry United to win
Our track record
In 946 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 29.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 30.1% than to our 40–45%.
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our track record
In 5,136 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.6% of the time (bookmakers said 57.6%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our track record
In 2,601 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.3% of the time (bookmakers said 62.5%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our track record
In 677 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.0% of the time (bookmakers said 60.9%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our track record
In 1,010 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 35.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 35.2% than to our 35–40%.
Our model’s pick
Leiston 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 900 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 43.2% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.1% than to our 55–60%.
Our model’s pick
Coventry United 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 873 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.6% of the time (bookmakers said 59.5%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Leiston vs Coventry United — AI Betting Odds & Market Probabilities
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Leiston vs Coventry United. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Leiston–
Coventry United–Winner
X2 63%
BTTS**
Yes 58%
Correct Score
1-1 09%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 63%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 50%
Leiston–Coventry United–Winner
X2 63%
BTTS**
Yes 58%
Correct Score
1-1 09%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 63%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 50%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 17% | 83% | 37% | 63% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 50% | 50% | 74% | 26% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 30% | 70% | 58% | 42% |
 | 26% | 74% | 54% | 46% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 80% | 20% | 92% | 8% |
| 77% | 23% | 90% | 10% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
25%
1-1
21%
X-2
15%
X-1
12%
X-X
12%
1-X
4%
1-2
4%
2-X
4%
2-1
3%
Correct Score
1-1
8.9%
2-1
8.1%
1-2
7.9%
0-1
6.4%
1-0
6.3%
0-2
5.9%
2-2
5.7%
2-0
4.7%
1-3
4.6%
0-0
4.6%
3-1
4.3%
0-3
3.5%
3-2
3.4%
3-0
3.3%
2-3
3.3%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Leiston vs Coventry United — Recent Form
Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
LeistonCoventry UnitedBoth Teams to Score
LeistonCoventry UnitedOver/Under 2.5 Goals
LeistonCoventry UnitedOver/Under 3.5 Goals
LeistonCoventry UnitedFirst Half Result
LeistonCoventry UnitedCorrect Score
LeistonCoventry United