Chesham United vs Real Bedford Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
FA Cup - Season 2026/2027 3rd Round Qualifying (Qualifying)
Chesham United vs Real Bedford — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · FA Cup
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Chesham United to win
Our track record
In 3,141 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.4% of the time (bookmakers said 50.4%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our track record
In 2,025 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.7% of the time (bookmakers said 61.2%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our track record
In 885 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.6% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our track record
In 677 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.0% of the time (bookmakers said 60.9%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our track record
In 1,010 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 35.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 35.2% than to our 35–40%.
Our model’s pick
Chesham United 2+ goals
Our track record
In 2,521 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.5% of the time (bookmakers said 58.7%).
Our model’s pick
Real Bedford 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 2,453 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.6% of the time (bookmakers said 64.1%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Chesham United vs Real Bedford — AI Betting Odds & Market Probabilities
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Chesham United vs Real Bedford. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Chesham United–
Real Bedford–Winner
1X 70%
BTTS**
Yes 62%
Correct Score
2-1 09%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 66%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 54%
Chesham United–Real Bedford–Winner
1X 70%
BTTS**
Yes 62%
Correct Score
2-1 09%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 66%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 54%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 16% | 84% | 34% | 66% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 46% | 54% | 71% | 29% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 22% | 78% | 47% | 53% |
 | 34% | 66% | 62% | 38% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 71% | 29% | 88% | 12% |
| 82% | 18% | 91% | 9% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
29%
2-2
19%
X-1
14%
X-X
12%
X-2
12%
1-X
4%
2-X
4%
1-2
3%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
2-1
8.8%
1-1
8.6%
1-0
7.1%
2-0
6.3%
1-2
6.1%
3-1
5.9%
2-2
5.8%
0-1
4.8%
3-0
4.6%
3-2
4.2%
0-0
4.0%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.4%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Chesham United vs Real Bedford — Recent Form
Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Chesham UnitedReal BedfordBoth Teams to Score
Chesham UnitedReal BedfordOver/Under 2.5 Goals
Chesham UnitedReal BedfordOver/Under 3.5 Goals
Chesham UnitedReal BedfordFirst Half Result
Chesham UnitedReal BedfordCorrect Score
Chesham UnitedReal Bedford