Brackley Town vs Chelmsford City Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
FA Cup - Season 2026/2027 3rd Round Qualifying (Qualifying)
Brackley Town vs Chelmsford City — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · FA Cup
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Chelmsford City to win
Our track record
In 339 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 27.4% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 30.7% than to our 45–50%.
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our track record
In 6,058 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.2% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our track record
In 2,723 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 43.8% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.2% than to our 50–55%.
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our track record
In 3,658 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.7% of the time (bookmakers said 67.0%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our track record
In 6,242 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 45.0% of the time (bookmakers said 44.3%).
Our model’s pick
Brackley Town 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 2,447 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.6% of the time (bookmakers said 67.8%).
Our model’s pick
Chelmsford City 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 873 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.6% of the time (bookmakers said 59.5%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Brackley Town vs Chelmsford City — AI Betting Odds & Market Probabilities
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Brackley Town vs Chelmsford City. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Brackley Town–
Chelmsford City–Winner
X2 72%
BTTS**
Yes 53%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 58%
Brackley Town–Chelmsford City–Winner
X2 72%
BTTS**
Yes 53%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 58%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 23% | 77% | 46% | 54% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 58% | 42% | 81% | 19% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 38% | 62% | 69% | 31% |
 | 23% | 77% | 53% | 47% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 88% | 12% | 96% | 4% |
| 77% | 23% | 90% | 10% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
29%
X-2
17%
1-1
15%
X-X
14%
X-1
11%
2-X
5%
1-X
4%
1-2
3%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
1-1
10.8%
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.8%
0-2
8.4%
1-0
7.0%
2-1
6.8%
0-0
6.4%
2-2
5.3%
1-3
4.8%
0-3
4.4%
2-0
4.0%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Brackley Town vs Chelmsford City — Recent Form
Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Chelmsford CityBrackley TownBoth Teams to Score
Chelmsford CityBrackley TownOver/Under 2.5 Goals
Chelmsford CityBrackley TownOver/Under 3.5 Goals
Chelmsford CityBrackley TownFirst Half Result
Chelmsford CityBrackley TownCorrect Score
Chelmsford CityBrackley Town