Bury Town vs Spalding United Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
FA Cup - Season 2026/2027 3rd Round Qualifying (Qualifying)
Bury Town vs Spalding United — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · FA Cup
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Spalding United to win
Our track record
In 969 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 67.6% of the time (bookmakers said 66.9%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our track record
In 5,136 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.6% of the time (bookmakers said 57.6%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our track record
In 2,601 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.3% of the time (bookmakers said 62.5%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our track record
In 677 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.0% of the time (bookmakers said 60.9%).
Our model’s pick
Spalding United ahead at half-time
Our track record
In 2,083 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 37.2% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 37.4% than to our 40–45%.
Our model’s pick
Bury Town 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 809 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 73.9% of the time (bookmakers said 76.8%).
Our model’s pick
Spalding United 2+ goals
Our track record
In 307 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.6% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.8% than to our 60–65%.
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Bury Town vs Spalding United — AI Betting Odds & Market Probabilities
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Bury Town vs Spalding United. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Bury Town–
Spalding United–Winner
2 62%
BTTS**
Yes 58%
Correct Score
1-2 09%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 63%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 51%
Bury Town–Spalding United–Winner
2 62%
BTTS**
Yes 58%
Correct Score
1-2 09%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 63%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
over 51%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 17% | 83% | 37% | 63% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 49% | 51% | 72% | 28% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 48% | 52% | 76% | 24% |
 | 15% | 85% | 39% | 61% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 92% | 8% | 98% | 3% |
| 63% | 37% | 80% | 20% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
42%
X-2
17%
1-1
11%
X-X
10%
X-1
7%
1-X
4%
2-X
4%
1-2
3%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
1-2
9.0%
1-1
8.9%
0-2
8.5%
0-1
8.1%
0-3
6.5%
1-3
6.2%
2-1
5.3%
2-2
4.6%
1-0
4.5%
0-0
4.4%
2-3
3.2%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Bury Town vs Spalding United — Recent Form
Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Bury TownSpalding UnitedBoth Teams to Score
Bury TownSpalding UnitedOver/Under 2.5 Goals
Bury TownSpalding UnitedOver/Under 3.5 Goals
Bury TownSpalding UnitedFirst Half Result
Bury TownSpalding UnitedCorrect Score
Bury TownSpalding United