Spennymoor Town vs Chester Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
FA Cup - Season 2026/2027 3rd Round Qualifying (Qualifying)
Spennymoor Town vs Chester — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · FA Cup
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Chester to win
Our track record
In 2,229 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.6% of the time (bookmakers said 55.1%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our track record
In 5,136 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.6% of the time (bookmakers said 57.6%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our track record
In 4,789 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.5% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our track record
In 3,658 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.7% of the time (bookmakers said 67.0%).
Our model’s pick
Chester ahead at half-time
Our track record
In 2,083 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 37.2% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 37.4% than to our 40–45%.
Our model’s pick
Spennymoor Town 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 1,475 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.3% of the time (bookmakers said 72.2%).
Our model’s pick
Chester 2+ goals
Our track record
In 735 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 42.4% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 42.5% than to our 50–55%.
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Spennymoor Town vs Chester — AI Betting Odds & Market Probabilities
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Spennymoor Town vs Chester. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Spennymoor Town–
Chester–Winner
2 52%
BTTS**
Yes 55%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 57%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 56%
Spennymoor Town–Chester–Winner
2 52%
BTTS**
Yes 55%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 57%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 56%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 21% | 79% | 43% | 57% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 56% | 44% | 79% | 21% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 39% | 61% | 71% | 29% |
 | 20% | 80% | 48% | 52% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 89% | 11% | 97% | 3% |
| 74% | 26% | 89% | 11% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
33%
X-2
17%
1-1
14%
X-X
12%
X-1
8%
2-X
6%
1-X
4%
1-2
3%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
1-1
10.5%
1-2
9.6%
0-1
9.2%
0-2
8.6%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
6.0%
1-3
5.6%
0-3
5.3%
0-0
5.2%
2-2
5.2%
2-0
3.7%
2-3
3.1%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Spennymoor Town vs Chester — Recent Form
Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Spennymoor TownChesterBoth Teams to Score
Spennymoor TownChesterOver/Under 2.5 Goals
Spennymoor TownChesterOver/Under 3.5 Goals
Spennymoor TownChesterFirst Half Result
Spennymoor TownChesterCorrect Score
Spennymoor TownChester