Buxton vs South Shields Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
FA Cup - Season 2026/2027 3rd Round Qualifying (Qualifying)
Buxton vs South Shields — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · FA Cup
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Buxton to win
Our track record
In 339 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 27.4% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 30.7% than to our 45–50%.
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our track record
In 5,136 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.6% of the time (bookmakers said 57.6%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our track record
In 4,789 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.5% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our track record
In 3,658 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.7% of the time (bookmakers said 67.0%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our track record
In 6,242 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 45.0% of the time (bookmakers said 44.3%).
Our model’s pick
Buxton 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 2,521 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.5% of the time (bookmakers said 58.7%).
Our model’s pick
South Shields 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 307 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.6% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.8% than to our 60–65%.
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Buxton vs South Shields — AI Betting Odds & Market Probabilities
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Buxton vs South Shields. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Buxton–
South Shields–Winner
1X 69%
BTTS**
Yes 58%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 58%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 55%
Buxton–South Shields–Winner
1X 69%
BTTS**
Yes 58%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 58%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 55%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 21% | 79% | 42% | 58% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 55% | 45% | 79% | 21% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 24% | 76% | 53% | 47% |
 | 34% | 66% | 65% | 35% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 77% | 23% | 91% | 9% |
| 86% | 14% | 95% | 5% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
27%
2-2
17%
X-1
16%
X-X
14%
X-2
11%
1-X
4%
2-1
4%
2-X
4%
1-2
2%
Correct Score
1-1
10.5%
2-1
8.9%
1-0
8.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-0
6.7%
0-1
6.5%
0-0
5.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-1
5.1%
0-2
4.7%
3-0
4.4%
3-2
3.5%
1-3
3.2%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Buxton vs South Shields — Recent Form
Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
BuxtonSouth ShieldsBoth Teams to Score
BuxtonSouth ShieldsOver/Under 2.5 Goals
BuxtonSouth ShieldsOver/Under 3.5 Goals
BuxtonSouth ShieldsFirst Half Result
BuxtonSouth ShieldsCorrect Score
BuxtonSouth Shields