Morecambe vs Darlington Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
FA Cup - Season 2026/2027 3rd Round Qualifying (Qualifying)
Morecambe vs Darlington — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · FA Cup
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Morecambe to win
Our track record
In 3,280 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 46.9% of the time (bookmakers said 47.0%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our track record
In 5,136 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.6% of the time (bookmakers said 57.6%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our track record
In 2,601 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.3% of the time (bookmakers said 62.5%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our track record
In 2,029 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.3% of the time (bookmakers said 63.2%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
Our track record
In 3,846 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 48.2% of the time (bookmakers said 47.4%).
Our model’s pick
Morecambe 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 2,521 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.5% of the time (bookmakers said 58.7%).
Our model’s pick
Darlington 0–1 goals
Our track record
In 1,404 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 60.0% of the time (bookmakers said 61.3%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Morecambe vs Darlington — AI Betting Odds & Market Probabilities
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Morecambe vs Darlington. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Morecambe–
Darlington–Winner
1X 63%
BTTS**
Yes 60%
Correct Score
1-1 09%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 63%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 51%
Morecambe–Darlington–Winner
1X 63%
BTTS**
Yes 60%
Correct Score
1-1 09%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 63%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 51%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 17% | 83% | 37% | 63% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 51% | 49% | 75% | 25% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 26% | 74% | 55% | 45% |
 | 29% | 71% | 57% | 43% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 78% | 22% | 91% | 9% |
| 80% | 20% | 91% | 9% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
21%
2-2
21%
X-1
17%
X-2
14%
X-X
12%
2-X
5%
1-X
4%
1-2
3%
2-1
3%
Correct Score
1-1
9.4%
2-1
8.8%
1-2
8.1%
1-0
7.0%
2-2
6.2%
0-1
5.6%
2-0
5.5%
0-2
4.9%
3-1
4.5%
0-0
4.3%
1-3
3.9%
3-0
3.8%
3-2
3.6%
0-3
3.2%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Morecambe vs Darlington — Recent Form
Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
DarlingtonMorecambeBoth Teams to Score
DarlingtonMorecambeOver/Under 2.5 Goals
DarlingtonMorecambeOver/Under 3.5 Goals
DarlingtonMorecambeFirst Half Result
DarlingtonMorecambeCorrect Score
DarlingtonMorecambe