Fast starters
8/10AEK Larnaca scored first in 8 of their last 10 (league 47%).
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AEK Larnaca vs Karmiotissa Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
1. Division - Season 2026/2027 (Round 9)
Riding their luck
AEK Larnaca are taking more points than their chances usually bring
+5points more than their chances usually bring in their last 7 with xG
85% of teams this far ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games.
AEK Larnaca vs Karmiotissa score prediction
1. Division
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Goal-fest alert3.1 goals expected
3.1 goals in total: more goals than a typical 1. Division game (average 2.7).
goals expected
AEK Larnaca2.2
Karmiotissa0.9Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
Goal-fest alert: we expect at least 2.7 goals, clearly more than usual in this league (8.5% above the average). Since July 2025, these games averaged 3.2 goals, and 62% went over 2.5.
Bore draw alert: we expect 2.3 goals or fewer, clearly less than usual (11% below the average). These games averaged 2.2 goals, and 63% stayed under 2.5.
Bookmakers usually see these coming too, so use the alert to know what kind of game to expect, not as a betting edge.
How we measure →The match AEK Larnaca vs Karmiotissa will be played on Friday, November 6 as part of the 2026/2027 season. This fixture will be played in the Round 9 of the 1. Division, played in Cyprus. On this page, you’ll find our detailed football prediction for AEK Larnaca vs Karmiotissa, including full-time result (1X2) probabilities, draw chances, and additional betting insights. Our predictions are generated using data-driven models that analyze team form, recent performances, and historical trends to deliver reliable match forecasts.
AEK Larnaca vs Karmiotissa — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for AEK Larnaca vs Karmiotissa. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
AEK Larnaca–
Karmiotissa–Winner
1 65%
BTTS*
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-0 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 57%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 56%
AEK Larnaca–Karmiotissa–Winner
1 65%
BTTS*
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-0 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 57%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 56%
Full Time
165%
X21%
214%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 21% | 79% | 43% | 57% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 56% | 44% | 78% | 22% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13% | 87% | 39% | 61% |
| 50% | 50% | 81% | 19% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 66% | 34% | 85% | 15% |
| 94% | 6% | 99% | 1% |
1st Half
146%
X39%
215%
1st Score
170%
X6%
225%
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
42%
X-1
19%
X-X
13%
2-2
7%
1-X
5%
X-2
5%
2-X
4%
2-1
3%
1-2
1%
Correct Score
1-0
11.0%
2-0
10.8%
2-1
10.5%
1-1
9.3%
3-0
7.6%
3-1
6.4%
0-0
5.6%
2-2
4.7%
1-2
4.3%
0-1
4.1%
3-2
3.2%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
AEK Larnaca vs Karmiotissa: the stats that stand out
1. Division
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%AEK Larnaca: fast starters · Karmiotissa: shot-shy
8/10Shot-shy
4/7Karmiotissa failed to score in 4 of their last 7 (league 29%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →AEK Larnaca vs Karmiotissa: attack vs defence
1. Division
Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
other 1. Division teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- AEK Larnaca: good attack, weak defence (1.39 xG, 1.59 xGA a game)
- Karmiotissa: weak attack, weak defence (1.01 xG, 1.90 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →AEK Larnaca vs Karmiotissa form and luck check
1. Division
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 1. Division gamesAEK Larnaca are taking more points than their chances usually bring
- AEK Larnaca7 of 10 gamesClinical · +5 goals+4.6
- Karmiotissa5 of 10 games−0.2
Last 5 matches
AEK LarnacaW
D
W
W
L
KarmiotissaL
L
L
D
D
W
D
L
Strength rank: AEK Larnaca 3rd of 14 · Karmiotissa 14th of 14
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 14 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →AEK Larnaca vs Karmiotissa: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
1. Division
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averageup to 10 recent 1. Division gamesBTTS = both teams scoredBoth teams score in AEK Larnaca games more often than the 1. Division average (48%), in Karmiotissa games less often.
Over 2.5 goalsleague 51%
AEK Larnaca5 of 10
Karmiotissa5 of 7
BTTSleague 48%
AEK Larnaca7 of 10
Karmiotissa3 of 7
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 233 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →AEK Larnaca vs Karmiotissa corners, cards and goal times
1. Division
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per game- Corners won: league 4.5
- Cards: league 2.4
- Goals before half-time: league 44%
- Goals after 75': league 26%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
AEK Larnaca3/5
Karmiotissa3/5
Both Teams to Score
AEK Larnaca2/5
Karmiotissa2/5
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
AEK Larnaca3/5
Karmiotissa2/5
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
AEK Larnaca5/5
Karmiotissa4/5
First Half Result
AEK Larnaca3/5
Karmiotissa3/5
Correct Score
AEK Larnaca2/5
Karmiotissa0/5
correct predictionwrong prediction